November 18, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
1 |
Awesome Standard |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Fantastic Kitten |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
2 |
Fifties Music |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
Icelake |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Earned It |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Papacho |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
Scr |
1A |
1 |
Arrivano |
5.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
Scr |
7 |
5 |
Break the Mold |
5.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
11A |
9 |
Arnina |
5.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Wilko’s Goldeneye |
8.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
5 |
3 |
Valid Redeemer |
30.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Caladonia |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Given Achance |
10.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Lillard Hall |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Cherokee Jam |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Slewzer |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Simmarde’s View |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Donna’s Delight |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Tiz Octavia |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
She’s Thirsty |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Goldies Tale |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Alexia |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Notthatitmatters |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Postino’s Secret |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Sommer Something |
2.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Chamberlin Road |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Beaches N Bourbon |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Communion Money |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Fleur de Force |
3.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Vaughn |
12.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Tightly Bridled |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Big Slick |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
In Arrears |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
The Great Ronaldo |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Speedy Slew |
4.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
14 |
9 |
Magician’s Bags |
6.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
11 |
7 |
Mr J |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Howboutthemcowboys |
4.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
Scr |
10 |
6 |
Zapata |
3.50 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Hopkins Choice |
20.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
15 |
15 |
Skippin to Victory |
10.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
Scr |
16 |
10 |
Princetonian |
2.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
|
8 |
5 |
Through Appalachia |
10.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
|
12 |
8 |
Crimson Secret |
6.00 |
12.3 |
23-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Gator Boy |
15.00 |
13.8 |
26-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
No Fear (IRE) |
20.00 |
15.8 |
30-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Balharbour Miss |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Baleroom Dancer |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Nairet |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Unbridled Escape |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
African Wildcat |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Spicy Girl Red |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Andiemac |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
My Golden Rose |
5.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Bring Me Answers |
3.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Beautiful Maiden |
10.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Midnight Rodeo |
6.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Heaven’s Door |
15.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Nicholas and Me |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Mr. Smarty Pants |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
13 |
9 |
Love’s Legend |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
15 |
10 |
Kid Jeter |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
11 |
7 |
Bombonero |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Brighton Lane |
3.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Keep It Up |
6.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
King Koa |
2.50 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
12 |
8 |
Galaxy Express |
8.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Sippin’onbubbles |
30.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Quality Counts |
5.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Smart Royal T |
15.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Bowsprit |
5.00 |
12.3 |
23-1 |
|
16 |
11 |
My Own Lane |
20.00 |
12.8 |
24-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Chant David Chant |
8.00 |
13.8 |
26-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Game Night |
20.00 |
15.5 |
29-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Bestkindoftrouble |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Martywiththeparty |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Tricky Lion |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Dundalk |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Victory Chimes |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Eastern Bay |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Sunrise Sunset |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Minor Legend |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Northern Eclipse |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
16 |
16 |
Mile End |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Star Eighty |
2.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
Scr |
12 |
7 |
Elegant Supermodel (GER) |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
3A |
3 |
Mo’ne Davis |
1.80 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
Scr |
14A |
9 |
More’n Likely |
1.80 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Discreet Deceit |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Jessica Krupnick |
4.50 |
8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Bioterp |
8.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Summer Frock |
5.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
10 |
6 |
Sycee |
8.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
13 |
8 |
Eye On Berlin |
15.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
15 |
15 |
True Charm |
10.00 |
13.3 |
25-1 |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Rapidez |
30.00 |
13.5 |
26-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Di Colas Cowgirl |
30.00 |
14.8 |
28-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
Untamed Dixie |
30.00 |
16 |
30-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Souper Colors |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Stay On Point |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Bigboldbok |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Patriot Saint |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Tymochtee Creek |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Jarvis |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
13 |
11 |
Swamp Chilli |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Miss My People |
4.50 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
14 |
12 |
My Pal Jerry |
20.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
A Major Promise |
30.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Unclenedwhodrank |
15.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
|
12 |
10 |
Fiery Challenge |
20.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Split Rock |
20.00 |
12.8 |
24-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Derecho |
20.00 |
13.8 |
26-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.