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Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 18, 2017

November 18, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 1 Awesome Standard 6.00 2.5 5-1
10 8 Fantastic Kitten 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 2 Fifties Music 15.00 4 8-1
6 4 Icelake 6.00 4.5 9-1
8 6 Earned It 4.50 4.8 9-1
2 2 Papacho 8.00 5.8 11-1 Scr
1A 1 Arrivano 5.00 5.8 11-1 Scr
7 5 Break the Mold 5.00 7.8 15-1
11A 9 Arnina 5.00 8.3 16-1
9 7 Wilko’s Goldeneye 8.00 8.3 16-1
5 3 Valid Redeemer 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Caladonia 2.50 2 4-1
5 4 Given Achance 10.00 2 4-1
6 6 Lillard Hall 2.00 3.3 6-1 Scr
2 2 Cherokee Jam 15.00 4 8-1
8 6 Slewzer 3.50 5.3 10-1
4 4 Simmarde’s View 20.00 5.8 11-1 Scr
3 3 Donna’s Delight 6.00 6.3 12-1
7 5 Tiz Octavia 12.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 She’s Thirsty 5.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Goldies Tale 20.00 4 8-1
7 7 Alexia 10.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Notthatitmatters 15.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Postino’s Secret 6.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Sommer Something 2.50 7 13-1
10 10 Chamberlin Road 20.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Beaches N Bourbon 15.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Communion Money 12.00 7.5 14-1
11 11 Fleur de Force 3.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 Vaughn 12.00 9.3 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Tightly Bridled 2.50 1.3 2-1
13 13 Big Slick 3.50 2.5 5-1 Scr
2 2 In Arrears 4.00 4.3 8-1 Scr
9 9 The Great Ronaldo 5.00 4.3 8-1 Scr
4 3 Speedy Slew 4.50 6.3 12-1
14 9 Magician’s Bags 6.00 7.5 14-1
11 7 Mr J 20.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Howboutthemcowboys 4.00 8.3 16-1 Scr
10 6 Zapata 3.50 9 17-1
5 4 Hopkins Choice 20.00 9.5 18-1
15 15 Skippin to Victory 10.00 10.3 19-1 Scr
16 10 Princetonian 2.00 11.5 22-1
8 5 Through Appalachia 10.00 12 23-1
12 8 Crimson Secret 6.00 12.3 23-1
3 2 Gator Boy 15.00 13.8 26-1
6 6 No Fear (IRE) 20.00 15.8 30-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Balharbour Miss 8.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Baleroom Dancer 20.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Nairet 12.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Unbridled Escape 20.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 African Wildcat 12.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Spicy Girl Red 6.00 6 11-1
9 9 Andiemac 12.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 My Golden Rose 5.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Bring Me Answers 3.00 7.8 15-1
12 12 Beautiful Maiden 10.00 8.3 16-1
11 11 Midnight Rodeo 6.00 9.3 17-1
10 10 Heaven’s Door 15.00 11.5 22-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Nicholas and Me 5.00 2.3 4-1 Scr
2 2 Mr. Smarty Pants 3.00 3 6-1 Scr
13 9 Love’s Legend 15.00 4.5 9-1
15 10 Kid Jeter 4.50 4.8 9-1
11 7 Bombonero 6.00 5 9-1
9 9 Brighton Lane 3.00 5.8 11-1 Scr
1 1 Keep It Up 6.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 King Koa 2.50 7.8 15-1 Scr
12 8 Galaxy Express 8.00 8.8 17-1
3 2 Sippin’onbubbles 30.00 10.8 20-1
6 5 Quality Counts 5.00 11 21-1
14 14 Smart Royal T 15.00 11.5 22-1 Scr
4 3 Bowsprit 5.00 12.3 23-1
16 11 My Own Lane 20.00 12.8 24-1
5 4 Chant David Chant 8.00 13.8 26-1
7 6 Game Night 20.00 15.5 29-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Bestkindoftrouble 6.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Martywiththeparty 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Tricky Lion 2.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Dundalk 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Victory Chimes 3.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Eastern Bay 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Sunrise Sunset 12.00 7 13-1
8 8 Minor Legend 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 3 Northern Eclipse 3.00 1.8 3-1
16 16 Mile End 8.00 3.5 7-1 Scr
11 11 Star Eighty 2.50 3.8 7-1 Scr
12 7 Elegant Supermodel (GER) 10.00 4.8 9-1
3A 3 Mo’ne Davis 1.80 4.8 9-1 Scr
14A 9 More’n Likely 1.80 5.8 11-1
5 5 Discreet Deceit 20.00 7 13-1 Scr
8 8 Jessica Krupnick 4.50 8 15-1 Scr
2 2 Bioterp 8.00 8.3 16-1
7 5 Summer Frock 5.00 9 17-1
10 6 Sycee 8.00 10.8 20-1
13 8 Eye On Berlin 15.00 11.3 21-1
15 15 True Charm 10.00 13.3 25-1 Scr
9 9 Rapidez 30.00 13.5 26-1 Scr
1 1 Di Colas Cowgirl 30.00 14.8 28-1
6 4 Untamed Dixie 30.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Souper Colors 3.00 1 2-1
11 11 Stay On Point 15.00 3.3 6-1 Scr
8 7 Bigboldbok 12.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Patriot Saint 5.00 4 8-1
1 1 Tymochtee Creek 15.00 5.8 11-1
9 8 Jarvis 5.00 6 11-1
13 11 Swamp Chilli 15.00 6 11-1
10 9 Miss My People 4.50 8 15-1
14 12 My Pal Jerry 20.00 8.8 17-1
5 5 A Major Promise 30.00 10.3 19-1 Scr
2 2 Unclenedwhodrank 15.00 10.5 20-1
12 10 Fiery Challenge 20.00 11.5 22-1
3 3 Split Rock 20.00 12.8 24-1
6 5 Derecho 20.00 13.8 26-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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