November 18, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | I B Sweet | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Louisiana Lily | 30.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Breezy Song | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zarla | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Heavenly Quest | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mary Oh Mary | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz the Wildcat | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sandy’s Wager | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ms Brown Gravy | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Twice a Rebel | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kiss That Dude | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Dale’s Lil Sis | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5A | 4 | Cat Who Dat | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bevos Winch | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wave Goodbye | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Data Girl | 2.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | Garlic | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Sharp Machete | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Patriot Father | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mr Makeithappen | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Lord Colliery | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Two Steppin’ Star | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Top Money | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | A Flash of Copper | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Skippinonthewall | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Legendary Larry | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Remember Me Pop | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Neo Frost | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Crickadee | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Can’t Count That | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Frances | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Branchwater | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gia Mama Mia | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Crown Express | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | U. S. Sterling | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Skipadee Due Da | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Romantic Stroll | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Skeeter | 6.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Play the Field | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Calipso Baby | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Machinist | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flashy Image | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Overlyappealing | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rock Creek | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Lookingforroses | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucas Henry G | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | Personal Conflict | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Doolin | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Double Down Bob | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Just Stormin | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mobile Bay | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Real Panic | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Great Minds | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wildcat Wish | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Temprano | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Albano | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Plot Twist | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | King’s Share | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Arkansas Martini | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Santino | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rockin Royalty | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Another Level | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Empressive Road | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sittin On Cotton | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Mamma | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Lucky Taylor | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Twist Tail | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Louisiana Legacy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cajun Creed | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gladyousawme | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Budro Talking | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | I Want a Picture | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Vapor Viper | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Prayer Boy | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Roaring Star Fire | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Star Anne | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Big Gig | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Drewcitable | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Mon | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pound for Pound | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ringneckdove | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Destiny’s Port | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Nala | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Summers Back | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spicy Afleet | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Queen of the Walk | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gato Mojado | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wild Mimosas | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Miss Rippinlips | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Keen Move | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ice Party | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Broadway Brahms | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Warsongchant | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Princess Gianna | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Hey Girl | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | L N J’s Bar Tab | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | D D’s Delight | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lucky Slippers | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sunni’s Jazz | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Junes’s Choice | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.