November 18, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cats Blame | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Juanito | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Milhaud | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | New Dancer | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Pure Pursuit | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Air On Fire | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Billy | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Insubordination | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Rak City | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Mesut | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sunday Prophet | 5.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lookingforthewire | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dramatic Victory | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vegas Itch | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Red Carpet Cat | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Critical Way | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Burn Me Twice | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Night’s Watch | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big League | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pundy | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | True Valor | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Reverend Al | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Helen’s Tiger | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yolanda’s Stone | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dixie Lassie | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wicked Sunset | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kiss of Dahpespe | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | If Only Ida | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Artistic Ministry | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Stash | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Jersey’s Heat | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hardboot | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dos Palos | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dark Paradise | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Push Through | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Croissant | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rustic Canyon | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Buck Duane | 4.50 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Infuriated Gary | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smart Knows Smart | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Minister’s Glory | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Desi Arnaz S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Dream Tree | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ms Bad Behavior | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Steph Being Steph | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Secret Spice | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Smiling Tigress | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Midnight Bisou | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Not too Shiny | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Painting Corners | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Snow Cloud (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Little Voice | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lajatico (GB) | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Yuvetsi | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Wonderful Lie | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Go Argento | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Phantom Proton | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Zero Zee | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Livy (IRE) | 5.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dashin Ashen | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bowie | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Go On Mary | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Party Hostess | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Demigoddess | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Princess Dorian | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reckless Charm | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Li’l Grazen | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Little Nati | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Christy Jackson | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Radio Silence | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Pleasure | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Harbour Master (GB) | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thorpe d’Oro | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Buckys Pick | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hootie | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | South Americain | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Farley | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fly to Mars | 6.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tough But Nice | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lindante | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Man Chuckles | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Make It a Triple | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gentrified | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Braddock | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | All Star Parade | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bolitar | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.