November 18, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jonquil | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lethal Legacy | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tisbury | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Say Cin Cin | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kat O Mine | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Out of Trouble | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hardly Mate | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hollywood Cat | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Lady by Choice | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | La Contessa | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gangbusters | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Northernstreetgal | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Timeless Beauty | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Beyondelle | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Gia Michael | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Schivarelli | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tale of E Dubai | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bolita Boyz | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A Fleet Attitude | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Blaze’n Prospector | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1A | 1 | Top Brass | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Scheme | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9A | 9 | Driven by Speed | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Wake Island | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Speighgal | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scattered Thoughts (IRE) | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11A | 10 | Thirstforthecup | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Folk Magic | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trilliant (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gold Lace | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miko | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Spring for More | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Joan | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 13A | 13 | Stay Fond | 8.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | D’yer Mak’er | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Lucky Town | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Cuckoo’s Saloon | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Discretionary Marq | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Canarsie Kid | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Benevolence | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Ethan Hunt | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Outrageous Bet | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Mission Command | 3.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Psychic Energy | 5.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Peculiar Sensation | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiffanys Freud | 15.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Source Control | 12.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Chosen One Elijah | 50.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Alkhaatam | 1.20 | 3.1 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 15 | Westerdale | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Factor This | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Infield Is In | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Victor Lounge (IRE) | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | American Lincoln | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Causeur | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Power Boss | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mathematician | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wicked Trick | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Desert Stone (IRE) | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Unleveraged | 3.50 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Curlin’s New Moon | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Time On Target | 15.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Agenda | 6.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Bridey’s Kitten | 15.00 | 14.1 | 27-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Scarly Charly | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Bond | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Greeley’s Farewell | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gambler’s Ghost | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Morning Buzz | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Will Did It | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | War Eagle’s Return | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bar None | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Major League | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Artie Schiller S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Delta Prince | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Hollywood Hideaway | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fire Away | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Monster Bea | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A Lot | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blacktype (FR) | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Night Prowler | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Marengo Road | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wolf Rock | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kantune | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Converge | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Tizzarunner | 15.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Reata’s Reward | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Miss Hot Stones | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ramblin’ Ma’am | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Queenofeverything | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forever Dreams | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Velvet Trinni | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Cryinthemoonlight | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | It’s My Catiecat | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Turn and Bern | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 14A | 14 | Gentle Annie | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kenzie | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hug the Rail | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 16A | 16 | Frederica | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Scorpion Bowl | 12.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sundance Joy | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Barrel of Destiny | 30.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.