November 17, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Devine Dental | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sparty Boy | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blame Us All | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Two Down One to Go | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sallisaw | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7B | 7 | Incubator | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 5B | 4 | Roaming Union | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tattered | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 9A | 6 | Potomac | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3A | 2 | Biblical | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | St. Augustine | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Marconi | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Chantry Flats | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | James Ciro | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7A | 6 | Roman Approval | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gold Shield | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Scholar Athlete | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | St. Louie | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Accountable | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Testosterstone | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Smooth Daddy | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Regalian | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sidewinder | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Whyamisolucky | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Rudy’s Boy | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hoard | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Outvoted | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Ego | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | High Risk Strategy | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Guyanese | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Gosilently | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rumbles of Thunder | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pocket Player | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zonic | 0.80 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Slewacandy | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Appealing Briefs | 1.80 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Space Key | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Millies Party Boy | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | The Great Samurai | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Reedini | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Euro | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | O Captainmycaptain | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bunyaan | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Facade | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Conquest Expresso | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tottie Royer | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ten Twenty Nine | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Full of Mine | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Flick of an Eye | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Ready for Summer | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lamontagne | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Free N Clear | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Aja Brown | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Khaleesi Kat | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Quick | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8A | 8 | Weather Girl | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reckless Humor | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sugar Mags | 10.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | I Dream of Lois | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | High Jingo | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Objective Complete | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Majestic Bloom | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alabama Bound | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sandy Belle | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nothingbutasmile | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Swayed | 3.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Treatherlikestar | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rock Ave. Road | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Tiffanys Freud | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Same Kinda Crazy | 4.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lulu’s Blues | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Hannah’s Smile | 2.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Arietta | 12.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Laura’s Patriot | 20.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Shrink | 15.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Unspoken Mission | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hay Field | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Madeline’s Hope | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lovely Livia | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Desert Affair | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wild Frost | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Toni the Tigress | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spender | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tough Old Bird | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Party Spot | 3.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Magari | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Low Is Laine | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Anna Liffey | 50.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.