Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 16, 2017

November 16, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Caray 6.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Conqueror 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 Antioch 1.80 2.5 5-1
8 8 Ya Gotta Wanna 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Unnamed Source 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Chidamac 10.00 6 11-1
7 7 Artistic Ab 8.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Chrisiscookin 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Lovely Anzi 3.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Six Point Rack 2.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Spiritual Warrior 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Highly Acclaimed 6.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Tribal Roar 20.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Well Developed 4.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 The Big Train 3.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 American Currency 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Old School Ike 8.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Sandbed 12.00 4.3 8-1 Scr
2 2 Desert Domination 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Dramatic Ride 8.00 5 9-1
8 7 Run Jeanne Run 4.00 5.3 10-1
9 8 Snazzy Dresser 5.00 7 13-1
4 4 Butte City 3.50 7.3 14-1
3 3 Wildcat Kaos 20.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Zuri Chop (FR) 4.00 1.8 3-1
8 7 Doc Curlin 3.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Anatolian Heat 3.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Aristocratic 12.00 4.5 9-1 Scr
1 1 Incensed 2.50 4.8 9-1
2 2 Holy Whirl Wind 15.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Tough Sunday 8.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Horse Laugh 15.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Lea’s Reward 3.50 2 4-1
7 7 Warrior Vixen 8.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Fly Far Away 4.00 4 8-1
3 3 Majestic Diva 10.00 4 8-1
1 1 Road Test 4.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Quiet No More 8.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Tiz Adore 3.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Zanab 10.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Shezaspanishdancer 5.00 2 4-1
14 14 Mo See Cal 2.50 2.5 5-1 Scr
3 3 Enayat Alsalam 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Silken Spy 3.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Angels N Devildogs 15.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Hope Wins 20.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Belle Monte 8.00 8.3 16-1
13 13 Rattle 5.00 8.3 16-1 Scr
9 9 Secret Causeway 20.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Chickatini 4.00 9.3 17-1
2 2 Champalicious 15.00 10.3 19-1
4 4 Sensible Myth 3.00 11 21-1
12 12 Princess Fran 6.00 11.5 22-1 Scr
11 11 Classy Atlantic 20.00 12.5 24-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Avanti Bello 3.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 El Huerfano 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Ike Walker 2.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Gonna Fly Now 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Stormin Monarcho 3.50 5.3 10-1
5 5 Mr. Shook 6.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Odyssey Explorer 12.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Amazon Cry 5.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Wit and Wisdom 12.00 3.8 7-1
12 10 Taniko 4.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Christaki 0.00 4.5 9-1 Scr
3 3 Acker 5.00 4.5 9-1
10 9 Bottle Service 4.50 6.8 13-1
5 4 Winning Element 3.00 7 13-1
11 11 Eighty and Sunny 0.00 7.5 14-1 Scr
7 6 Gio Star 20.00 7.8 15-1
6 5 Principal Bob 5.00 10 19-1
9 8 Perfection Tale 6.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.