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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 16, 2017

November 16, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Loyal Heart 10.00 1.8 3-1 Scr
3 2 Arewehavingfunyet 1.00 1.8 3-1
5 4 Maddizaskar 5.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Spa Town Parade 20.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Milaya 2.00 5 9-1 Scr
4 3 Perina’s Pride 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 5 Corey Q 2.50 1 2-1
6 4 Grandpa’s Arianna 3.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Justenuff Hope 20.00 3.8 7-1 Scr
3 2 Grand Banks 5.00 4 8-1
8 6 Jacqueline D 8.00 5 9-1
2 2 Crater Rim 20.00 6.8 13-1 Scr
11 11 Lady Allyn 30.00 7 13-1 Scr
10 10 Elegant Jem 4.00 7.5 14-1 Scr
4 3 Tulips Galore 20.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Courageous Change 20.00 10.3 19-1
9 7 Lady Love 30.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 One More Song 6.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Madame Barbarian 2.00 2 4-1
2 2 Another Genius 1.80 2.5 5-1
5 5 Promise Me Tiz 20.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Splash of Sass 2.50 4.5 9-1
4 4 Over My Head 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 8 Rain On The Dune (GB) 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Gifted Lady 20.00 3 6-1
8 7 Pounds to Pennies 3.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Merger Arbitrage 3.00 4 8-1
4 4 Lil Mo Gold 15.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Greatreviews 10.00 6 11-1
7 7 Forever Wife 5.00 6.3 12-1 Scr
1 1 Momentiempo 12.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Aoife 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Frosty Gal 6.00 2 4-1
4 4 Decorator Jenn 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Quick On the Draw 10.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Lady Bergen 3.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Cool as You Like 8.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Tainted Angel 2.50 5.5 10-1
1 1 Satin Sheets 5.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Desert Isle 3.50 2 4-1
8 8 Miss Aliphant 4.00 3 6-1
9 9 Mominou 20.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 South of the Shore 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 Fly So High 3.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Take Charge Tina 10.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Cadeau de Paix 20.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Moviemaker 10.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Lil T N Lorraine 15.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Lemoona 10.00 9.8 18-1
3 3 Ballston 20.00 9.8 18-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 4 J S Bach 3.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Fratello Del Nord 20.00 3.3 6-1 Scr
1 1 Marriage Fever 12.00 4 8-1
10 8 Old Upstart 5.00 4.5 9-1
7 6 Padilla 15.00 5 9-1
8 7 Set the Trappe 8.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Praetereo 8.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Point Hope 3.50 7.3 14-1 Scr
4 3 Dogtown 20.00 8.3 16-1
6 5 Paid Admission 5.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
12 12 Runaway Lute 5.00 1.8 3-1 Scr
9 9 Sandy’z Slew 8.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Dr. Shane 10.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 Changewilldoyagood 4.00 4.5 9-1 Scr
8 8 Speightful Kitten 5.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Dream Doctor 20.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Whiskey Seven 3.50 7.3 14-1
3 3 E J’s Legacy 20.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 The Crocheron Kid 12.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Grand Sky 2.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Banana Thief 6.00 10.5 20-1
7 7 Cliffs of Dover 30.00 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 6 She’s Cookin 8.00 2 4-1
10 7 Forever Rising 3.50 2 4-1
1 1 Paz the Wine 2.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Itsthemoney 20.00 4.5 9-1
5 4 Havana Affair 5.00 4.8 9-1
4 3 Madame Ambassador 12.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Tweet Street 30.00 7 13-1 Scr
6 5 Icy Girl 15.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Cetara 4.00 9 17-1 Scr
11 8 Tiffany’s Vision 50.00 9.5 18-1
8 8 Reconsider It 20.00 9.5 18-1 Scr

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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