November 15, 2017 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Castle in the Sky |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Over Sensual |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Toupha |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Zucker |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Rock the House |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Hayne’s Fever |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Classic Daniel |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Guatemala City |
4.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Corryvrechan |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Kayez |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Norris Lake |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Titanico |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Allied Instigator |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Milwaukee Magic |
2.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Lookingforanewhome |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Disputed Bid |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Argybargy |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
O’Kram |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
See You in Court |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Mosca |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Bent Crowbar |
3.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
First Shot |
2.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Miracle Silver |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Big Red Bear |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Laser Focus |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Forester’s Forum |
10.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Rare Appeal |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Streak O Greatness |
30.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Leo the Rabbit |
3.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
D’s Dark Knight |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Captivating Man |
50.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Hope Vision |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Shanty Town |
5.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Timeforastar |
12.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Wonnestrut |
12.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Drink It Neat |
20.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Patsy’s Star |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Penny Stamp |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Buckden House |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Canna Red |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Louise the Laser |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
I Zoom |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Old Valyria |
15.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Bangla Dancer |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Light My Path |
6.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Funny Funny Riddle |
20.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Lady St Clements |
12.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – South Ocean S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Close Image |
20.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
Scr |
9 |
8 |
Swagitude |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Gizmo’s Destiny |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Gosudarina |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
She’s the Berries |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Bramble Queen |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Clickity Clack |
2.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Show Me the Prize |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Line of Vision |
2.50 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Kissoffire (IRE) |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Diamonds and Roses |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Monastrell |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Robustious |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Northern Mike |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Monetary System |
4.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Derby Rebel |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
D’s Ben |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Stop the Parade |
20.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Track D Gold |
20.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Prideofdistinction |
20.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Hey Bear |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Defondo |
3.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Fortis |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
15 |
13 |
Runaway Pepper |
2.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Moon Doggie |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Butterfly Strike |
2.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Awesome Five |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Piston Broke |
8.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
14 |
12 |
Brilliant Charlie |
20.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Wickstead |
20.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
That’s a Stretch |
15.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Forever Krz |
20.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
|
12 |
10 |
Grand Mixture |
10.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
|
13 |
11 |
Chiefroll’nthunder |
20.00 |
12.3 |
23-1 |
|
16 |
16 |
Another Bid |
10.00 |
12.5 |
24-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Baldur |
20.00 |
15.3 |
29-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.