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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, November 15, 2017

November 15, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Andesine 3.00 2.5 5-1 Scr
1 1 Lady Constance 2.00 2.5 5-1 Scr
3 2 Elostorm 20.00 3.5 7-1
10 7 Winner’s Dream 3.00 3.8 7-1
4 3 Ultimate Cause 2.50 4.3 8-1
2 1 War Canoe 6.00 6.3 12-1
11 8 Hope’s Roar 5.00 6.8 13-1
6 5 Thrice 4.00 8 15-1
5 4 Queen of Spades 12.00 8 15-1
9 9 Peaches and Spice 15.00 9.8 18-1 Scr
8 6 Ice Palace 20.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Sand City 4.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Murrell’s Belle 15.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Anna Rae 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Maddy’s Way 12.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Sand Shark 3.50 5 9-1
8 8 Three Eighty Eight 6.00 5 9-1
5 5 Lady Rullah 15.00 7 13-1
6 6 Loose 2.50 7 13-1
3 3 Ola Gatita 30.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Switzerland 0.40 1 2-1 Scr
3 1 Mini Miles 3.50 3.3 6-1
8 6 Boot Hill 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 5 Factorial 4.00 4.3 8-1
9 7 Charnley River (AUS) 2.50 5 9-1
4 2 Repetitious 5.00 5.3 10-1
6 4 Dudes And Diamonds (GB) 15.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Teak 2.50 7.5 14-1 Scr
5 3 Dial Josh 10.00 8 15-1
10 8 Freeload 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
11 11 Expressly 3.00 1.3 2-1 Scr
8 8 Dynamic War 8.00 4 8-1 Scr
1 1 Foreign Affair 15.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Vasilika 3.50 5.5 10-1
7 7 Rimanisempreforte 10.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Fahan Mura 8.00 5.8 11-1
9 8 Hoponthebusgus 3.00 6 11-1
12 12 Spring for More 2.50 6.3 12-1 Scr
10 9 Carry Your Heels 5.00 8 15-1
3 3 Divine Caroline 10.00 9.8 18-1
4 4 Cha Cha Heels 6.00 10.5 20-1
6 6 Emiliana’s Hope 20.00 11.3 21-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 6 Bluegrass Singer 4.00 1.5 3-1
3 2 Helooksthepart 3.50 2 4-1
6 5 Too Fast to Pass 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 3 Market Sentiment 2.50 4.8 9-1
8 7 Texas Two Step 12.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Candy Promises 15.00 5.8 11-1 Scr
5 4 Tiznoble 5.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Cinderela El Crome 10.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 4 Honor Up 3.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Odin’s Steed 15.00 3.5 7-1 Scr
2 1 Dark Ops 4.00 3.8 7-1
4 2 Danny California 10.00 3.8 7-1
5 3 Audible 2.50 4.8 9-1
8 6 Big Thicket 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Mr. Hot Rocks 8.00 6.5 12-1 Scr
7 5 Violent Delights 20.00 8.3 16-1
9 7 The Sheik of Araby 12.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Valyrian 20.00 3 6-1
1 1 Killybegs Captain 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Battle Ready 15.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Forge 5.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Holding Aces 6.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Portfolio Manager 3.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Three to Thirteen 20.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Shadow Rider 3.50 7.3 14-1
3 3 May Be a Diamond 10.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Going Strong 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Fleet Irish 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Peter’s Project 12.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Samadi Sky 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Beyond the Green 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Broken Engagement 2.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Can You Diggit 1.80 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Fast Mama 3.00 2 4-1
7 7 Mystic Surprise 20.00 3 6-1
3 3 Julia’s Pride 5.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Subic Bay 3.50 3.8 7-1
10 10 Factoring 4.00 4.8 9-1
13 13 Ormolu Lu 2.50 6.3 12-1 Scr
9 9 Special Risk 30.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Goldmakesmesmile 20.00 8 15-1
12 12 Cleo 8.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Kusama 15.00 9.5 18-1
11 11 Lemondrop Lollipop 10.00 10 19-1
8 8 Mama’s Red Hat 30.00 12 23-1
6 6 Looking Good Carol (IRE) 20.00 12.3 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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