November 12, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Arno’s Mane Man | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shackalov | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big and Loud | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flip the Coin Jan | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | It’s a New Year | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Croatian | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Charlie Cowden | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alphadar | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | My Man Chuckles | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kona Dreams | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Allaboutmike | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Full Access | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Red Carpet Cat | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Swinging Star | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arch Prince | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moonlight Blue | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Kafister | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Airfoil | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Pray Hard | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Prohibition | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Changing Karma | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ajac | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Madelyn’s Wild Max | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Moving | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lambo Luxx | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chromium | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Brave Julian | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Summer’s Indy | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thirteen Squared | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spring Lily | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Instinctual Kash | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | War Heroine | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bella Be Ready | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Star Dreamin | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jazzy | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Beyond Pleasure | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Zuri Chop (FR) | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | General Ike | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Secreto Primero | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rough Passage | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bourque | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aotearoa | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magic Taste | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Reign On (GB) | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | It’s Just Bob | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Salient | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Got Even | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Just Kidding | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ike Walker | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Senator Robert | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sheer Flattery | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | General Kitten | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Liberty Park | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Absolutely Stylish | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Incredible Luck | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Icy Street | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Zipman | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Taniko | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Conquest Smartee | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cascade Rock (IRE) | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Saldamente | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | High Promise | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Shaky Alibi | 8.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Bellerin | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Papa Jazz | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Williston Dude | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Indoctrination (IRE) | 5.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Starting Bloc | 6.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Confirmed | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Betty Grable S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Barbara Beatrice | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Majestic Heat | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bad Ju Ju | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cuddle Alert | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Time for Ebby | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Late ‘n Left | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run for Retts | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | How About Zero | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Rye Patch | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Conquest Sabre Cat | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Banze No Oeste (BRZ) | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Malko (IRE) | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Cowboy | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ebadan (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’malreadythere | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silent Movies | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pound Piece (IRE) | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Eleven Zip | 0.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Mithqaal | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Special Season (GB) | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Colour Me Happy (GB) | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Taima the Hawk | 6.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.