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Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 11, 2017

November 11, 2017 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Tripocha 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Resolute Babe 5.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Natalie La Rose 2.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Hide a Rose 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Big Momma 12.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Hersisterisachub 10.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
10 10 Seven Gems 5.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Henny Strike 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Rudy’s Boy 3.00 4 8-1
7 7 Bennyluvspoker 12.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Talented Max 10.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Every Step 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Little Vinnie 15.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Here Comes Anthony 8.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 So Hot 10.00 7.8 15-1
11 11 Kion 8.00 8.8 17-1
1 1 Millionaire Runner 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Flashonforty 6.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Michazl John 3.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 Bernard 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Nonno 4.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 R Big Bopper 2.50 4.8 9-1
7 7 Enduring Arch 20.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 General J C 8.00 7 13-1
2 2 Royal Melbourne 8.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Fiery Opal 5.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Charming Morty 1.80 1.8 3-1
7 7 Edge of Patience 10.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Jeddo 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Casino King 4.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Match the Pot 15.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Check This Out 3.50 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Ageless Tales 4.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Mo Maddnes 15.00 3 6-1
6 6 My Sunshine Melody 20.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Stars Wilburn 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Hopeful Angel 6.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Viserion 3.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Strict 10.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Flaming Embers 15.00 7.8 15-1
12 12 Red Brook Road 12.00 9.3 17-1
2 2 Sweet Summer Star 8.00 9.3 17-1
9 9 Georgia Bonnet 20.00 9.8 18-1
10 10 A Princess She Is 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Right Ben 3.00 1 2-1 Scr
10 7 Don’tsellhimshort 20.00 3.8 7-1
9 6 Alabandus 15.00 4 8-1
5 4 M J’s Knight 20.00 6 11-1
12 12 True to His Word 5.00 6 11-1 Scr
4 3 My Cotton Jones 20.00 6.5 12-1
8 5 His Reins of Fire 20.00 7 13-1
1 1 Far From Awesome 8.00 7.3 14-1
3 2 Love and Care 4.50 7.3 14-1
6 6 Arctic Schiller 6.00 9.3 17-1 Scr
11 8 Moneyman 20.00 9.5 18-1
2 2 Rocky the Kid 12.00 10.5 20-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 4 Panamex 20.00 2.8 5-1
6 7 Stone Bandit 4.00 3 6-1 Scr
1 1 Raging Champion 12.00 3 6-1
4 3 Curtis 1.20 4 8-1
3 3 Retrograde 6.00 4 8-1 Scr
2 2 He’s Cotton 12.00 5.8 11-1
7 6 Driven by Thunder 3.50 5.8 11-1
1A 5 Giant Trick 12.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Tazkeya 3.50 1.3 2-1
10 9 Ms Locust Point 1.60 2.5 5-1
2 1 Trusty Roll 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Distinctive Lady 6.00 5.3 10-1
1 2 Risque’s Diamond 15.00 5.3 10-1 Scr
1A 2 Isabella Swift 15.00 6.3 12-1
7 8 Shaunna Alexandra 15.00 7 13-1 Scr
6 6 Campeona 12.00 7.3 14-1
8 7 Single Broad 12.00 8.3 16-1
9 8 Burn Control 8.00 9.3 17-1
5 5 Bertranda 15.00 9.5 18-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 6 Awesome Dixie 15.00 2.3 4-1
6 4 Start Jumping 3.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 J R Jellybean 15.00 3.5 7-1 Scr
10 7 Barlovento Tiger 20.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Speightscity 6.00 5.5 10-1 Scr
11 8 Purim’s Gold 4.00 5.8 11-1
5 3 Mr. Sensibility 20.00 6.8 13-1
12 9 Fake Dreams 5.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Here Comes Gary 8.00 8.8 17-1
2 2 Nick’s Posse 20.00 9.5 18-1 Scr
4 2 Picozza 15.00 10 19-1
8 5 Ice Cold Cash 20.00 11.5 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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