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Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 11, 2017

November 11, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Darcy Mae 6.00 2.8 5-1 Scr
11 4 Karma 2.50 3.3 6-1
8 8 Skip the Talk 6.00 3.3 6-1 Scr
4 2 Get Up She’s Gone 8.00 4.5 9-1
14 14 Pebble Road 3.50 5.3 10-1 Scr
5 5 Hard Headed Woman 8.00 6.3 12-1 Scr
3 3 Goodnight Moon 3.00 8 15-1 Scr
15 15 Bellkis 15.00 8 15-1 Scr
1 1 Perfectness 30.00 9.8 18-1 Scr
7 7 Speedygalee 20.00 10.3 19-1 Scr
12 5 Holiday Prayer 5.00 10.5 20-1
13 13 Goldmakesmesmile 4.00 10.8 20-1 Scr
2 1 Jah Grace 20.00 11.3 21-1
9 3 Hey Mabel 5.00 11.8 22-1
10 10 Rosie McGuire 20.00 14.5 27-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Geisha S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Rockin Jojo 10.00 2 4-1
4 4 Lucky in Malibu 4.50 2 4-1
2 2 My Magician 0.80 2.5 5-1
7 6 Miss Nosy 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 Moon Virginia 5.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Value Added 20.00 6.3 12-1 Scr
3 3 Wowwhatabrat 15.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
13 4 Monkey’s Medal 3.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Uncle Dave 2.50 2.5 5-1 Scr
3 2 Matador 12.00 3.8 7-1
12A 12 Captain Dixie 3.50 6 11-1 Scr
6 6 I. C. Lightning 15.00 6.3 12-1 Scr
15 15 Damage Control 5.00 6.7 13-1 Scr
16A 16 An Imaginary Road 3.50 7.8 15-1 Scr
2 1 Respighi 30.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Springers Point 20.00 8.3 16-1 Scr
7 7 Chilly Bay 12.00 8.5 16-1 Scr
4 3 Put It Forward 6.00 9.8 18-1
14 5 I’m Ready to Roll 12.00 10.3 19-1
10 10 Dream Man 8.00 12.3 23-1 Scr
11 11 Senor Louie 15.00 12.5 24-1 Scr
1 1 Diana’s Vendetta 8.00 13.3 25-1 Scr
9 9 Ultimate Avary 15.00 15 28-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
13 13 Alpha Slew 5.00 3.8 7-1 Scr
8 5 Social Media 15.00 4.3 8-1
12 12 Gimmeonemore 30.00 4.8 9-1 Scr
6 6 Noble Prince 4.00 5.5 10-1 Scr
16 7 Ruth Less Blue 15.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Hurler 20.00 6.5 12-1
14 6 Classic Wildcat 2.50 7.3 14-1
10 10 Final Encore 5.00 7.3 14-1 Scr
7 4 Starship Thor 12.00 8.3 16-1
4 3 Final Forum 2.00 8.5 16-1
11 11 No Knock Raid 4.50 8.8 17-1 Scr
5 5 Racy (GB) 2.50 11.3 21-1 Scr
3 2 Ring Collector 15.00 12 23-1
9 9 Divine Oath 5.00 13 25-1 Scr
2 2 Special Selection 20.00 13.5 26-1 Scr
15 15 Private Tutor 20.00 15.3 29-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Smart Halo S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Take Charge Paula 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Jehozacat 5.00 2 4-1
10 10 Gibby 6.00 3 6-1 Scr
6 6 Caught Dream’n 8.00 5 9-1
12 10 Pikachu Princess 20.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Pacific Gale 6.00 6.3 12-1
13 11 Almond Roca 12.00 6.5 12-1
11 9 Rose to Fame 20.00 8.8 17-1
5 5 Frigid Sister 10.00 9 17-1
9 9 Last True Love 15.00 9 17-1 Scr
1 1 Vertrazzo 10.00 10.8 20-1
2 2 Tarawa 20.00 11.3 21-1
7 7 Flowers Vale 30.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – City Of Laurel S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 5 Honor the Fleet 8.00 1.8 3-1
7 6 Prince of Hempt 12.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 No Dozing 2.50 4.3 8-1
9 8 Indian Lover 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Winplaceorshowono 15.00 4.8 9-1 Scr
2 2 El Areeb 2.00 5.5 10-1
5 4 Two Charley’s 15.00 6 11-1
1 1 Tale of Silence 3.00 7.5 14-1
8 7 Sonic Mule 20.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Safely Kept S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
11 9 Shimmering Aspen 3.00 1.3 2-1
16 16 Toby Girl 20.00 3.6 7-1 Scr
6 5 You Know Too 15.00 4 8-1
14 11 Astrollinthepark 20.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Ms Locust Point 8.00 4.8 9-1 Scr
12 12 Harkness 15.00 6 11-1 Scr
15 15 Folk Magic 15.00 9 17-1 Scr
1 1 Rose Tree 20.00 9 17-1
13 10 Your Love 2.50 9.3 17-1
3 3 Bellavais 20.00 9.3 17-1
2 2 Moonlit Song 20.00 10.5 20-1
4 4 Dawn the Destroyer 6.00 11.3 21-1
9 8 Just Be Kind 15.00 11.8 22-1
5 5 Analyze 20.00 11.8 22-1 Scr
8 7 Berned 12.00 12.5 24-1
7 6 She’s Stunning 30.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – James F. Lewis Iii S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Kowboy Karma 1.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Kitchen Fire 15.00 2 4-1
4 4 Barry Lee 2.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Blame It On Honey 30.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 A Different Style 3.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Whereshetoldmetogo 10.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Richard W. Small S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
12 10 Fellowship 30.00 3.5 7-1
9 7 Afleet Willy 4.50 3.8 7-1
8 8 All Out of Aces 20.00 4 8-1 Scr
3 3 No Distortion 15.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Watershed 4.50 5.8 11-1
11 9 Discreet Lover 15.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Doctor Mounty 12.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Securitiz 8.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Fear the Cowboy 6.00 8.8 17-1 Scr
4 4 Page McKenney 3.50 9.3 17-1
10 8 Just Call Kenny 6.00 9.3 17-1
2 2 Bodhisattva 30.00 9.8 18-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 4 Adios Annie 2.00 2.7 5-1
14 7 Radiant Element 15.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Isabel’s On It (GB) 12.00 4 8-1 Scr
2 2 Clare’s Dowery 6.00 5.1 10-1 Scr
3 2 Miss Mischievous 20.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Goldwood 4.50 5.5 10-1 Scr
12 5 Look Who’s Talking 20.00 6 11-1
13 6 Anna’s Bandit 3.00 6 11-1
5 3 Belted 10.00 7.5 14-1
16 16 My Juliana 20.00 10 19-1 Scr
11 11 Quality Time (IRE) 2.50 10.3 19-1 Scr
1 1 Thirst for Truth 10.00 11 21-1
6 6 Irish Fix 15.00 11 21-1 Scr
10 10 Sweet Yare N Dira 5.00 12.5 24-1 Scr
15 15 Veil Dance 8.00 13.8 26-1 Scr
7 7 Ms Eileen 30.00 14.5 27-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Marvelous Martha 3.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Oh So Lovely 6.00 3.5 7-1
10 9 Count On Chloe 15.00 3.5 7-1
13 12 Miss Craigie 15.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Janelle Dreams 12.00 5.8 11-1
15B 15 Flying Phillip’s 4.50 5.8 11-1 Scr
12 11 Nanny Rocks 8.00 6 11-1
6B 6 Purring Valentine 4.50 6.8 13-1
5 5 Local Thriller 10.00 8.5 16-1
11 10 Emme 30.00 11.3 21-1
3 3 Kitten’s Friend 20.00 11.8 22-1
14A 14 Tiz Octavia 15.00 12 23-1 Scr
2A 2 Courageous Bella 15.00 12 23-1
1 1 Daray 5.00 12.3 23-1
9 9 Ready Set Shop 15.00 13.8 26-1 Scr

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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