Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 11, 2017

November 11, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Gee Street 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Wendy’s Back 4.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Lostintranzlation 5.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Rolling Shadow 3.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Veiled Heat 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Warm It Up 15.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Weather Market 3.50 6.4 12-1
2 2 Quality Girl 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Dangerously Close 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Norwegian Spy 2.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Sally Simpson 2.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Carrie 10.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Blissful Lady 12.00 5 9-1
3 3 Fashion Fair 20.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Pattin for a Dance 15.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Violent Ridge 2.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Mavericks 3.50 3 6-1
4 4 Yes I’m Ready 10.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Bright Autism Mind 20.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Ishi 3.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Minoso 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Ready Eddie 4.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Rhettbutler 15.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 9 Rainbow Squall 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Red King 3.00 4 8-1
8 8 Run Like Rhett 3.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Waldorf 4.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Supreme Venture 12.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Trustworthy 12.00 6 11-1
4 4 Curly’s Waterfront 15.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Awesome Heights 6.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Bacoli 15.00 7 13-1
2 2 Pampers n’ Boots 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Bob Hope S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Run Away 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Mourinho 1.80 2.4 5-1
5 5 Beautiful Shot 2.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Italiano 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Here Is Happy 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Greyvitos 20.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 6 Lord of Chaos 5.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Atomic Rule 15.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Play Hard to Get 5.00 3.7 7-1 Scr
4 4 Royal Albert Hall (GB) 2.50 4 8-1 Scr
1 1 Crown the Kitten 3.50 4.1 8-1
6 4 Excessive Kid 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Alaskan Son (IRE) 8.00 5.7 11-1
7 5 Buymeabond 5.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Pitino 4.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Graycaster 8.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Destiny Awaits 12.00 3.9 7-1
11 11 All Out Blitz 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Cool Bobby 2.50 4.4 8-1
7 7 Colosi 20.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Totally Boss 6.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Keystone Field 6.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Kanthaka 12.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Saratoga Morning 12.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Candy Cornell 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
10 10 Time for Ebby 0.00 3 6-1 Scr
3 3 Painting Corners 2.50 3.6 7-1
8 8 Tizanillusion 3.00 4.1 8-1
13 13 Miss Loujean 0.00 5.6 11-1 Scr
12 12 Phantom Proton 6.00 5.7 11-1 Scr
14 14 Go Argento 12.00 6 11-1 Scr
11 11 Late ‘n Left 0.00 6.4 12-1 Scr
9 9 Literary Critic 8.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Obey 20.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Robin’s Love 8.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Powder 4.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 What What What 10.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 Vai 6.00 9.7 18-1
1 1 Demigoddess 20.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Heir of Storm 8.00 2 4-1
7 7 Willing to Travel 20.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Freddies Dream 3.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Jonny’s Choice 4.50 4.4 8-1
9 9 Gunslinger 30.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Broadway Nika 12.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Roman Tizzy 4.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Tisdale 3.50 6.7 13-1
5 5 South Texas Lingo 12.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 Ucanthankmelater 10.00 9.4 18-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.