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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 10, 2017

November 10, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Two Shy 5.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Lady Blessings 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Latrevo 2.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Blushing Justine 15.00 3.8 7-1
9 8 Money Purse 10.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Lillard Hall 8.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Paranoia 8.00 6.8 13-1
6A 6 Toni Rox 6.00 7.3 14-1
8A 8 Gia Michael 6.00 7.8 15-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Global Positioning 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Mighty Zealous 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 Bullheaded Boy 15.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Pegasus Red 3.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Sol the Freud 10.00 5 9-1
3 3 Saratoga Heater 5.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Lyrical Miracle 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Redhairdon’tcare 3.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Right On 12.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Honey Graeme 4.00 3 6-1
4 4 Strategic Dreams 1.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Wall of Compassion 5.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
16 16 Salty Smile 2.50 1 2-1 Scr
5 5 Fiveinthemorning 6.00 3.8 7-1
13 13 Forever Daisy 20.00 4.5 9-1 Scr
7 7 Southern Gal 4.00 5 9-1
15 15 Split Time 3.00 5.3 10-1 Scr
6 6 Lady of Miracles 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Climb the Ladder 12.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Chiclet’s Dream 3.50 8.5 16-1
9 9 Flatliner 15.00 8.8 17-1
12 12 Union Patriot 20.00 10 19-1
8 8 Seeking the Blue 8.00 10.8 20-1
14 14 Sardonyx 15.00 10.8 20-1 Scr
10 10 Giant Zinger 3.00 11 21-1
1 1 My Luciana Rose 20.00 13.3 25-1
3 3 Reyana Reya Delite 50.00 15.3 29-1
11 11 Caribbean Girl 20.00 15.8 30-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Phi Beta Express 1.20 1.8 3-1
3 3 Rectify 6.00 2 4-1
2 2 Gorgeous Charli 3.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Foreset 4.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Forest Blue 5.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Spin Cycle 8.00 2 4-1
3 3 Orino 3.50 3 6-1
5 5 Iron Power 1.80 3.3 6-1
7 7 Blue Pigeon 20.00 4 8-1
6 6 Glowing Ember 10.00 6 11-1
10 10 Bold Illusion 20.00 6 11-1
4 4 Bluegrass Prevails 15.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Taoiseach 2.50 7.3 14-1 Scr
9 9 Tiz a Chance 12.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 With Exultation 4.00 9.3 17-1
8 8 Snake Oil Charlie 50.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Length 5.00 2 4-1 Scr
4 4 Tanzania Road 3.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Angel Food 12.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 La Pena 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Total Control 4.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Sleigh Ride 3.50 5 9-1
7 6 Blind Pool 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9B 9 Cerro (IRE) 6.00 2.5 5-1 Scr
2A 2 Blackout (FR) 4.00 3 6-1
6 5 Fear 12.00 3.5 7-1
8B 7 Clever Royal 6.00 4.5 9-1
3A 3 Next Shares 4.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 End Play 2.50 5.5 10-1
4 4 War Stroll 5.00 5.8 11-1
10 8 Spring to the Sky 3.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Schoolofhardrocks 20.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Street Shark 20.00 9.8 18-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Mr. Massena 2.00 1 2-1
15 15 Grand Valour 3.00 4.3 8-1 Scr
6 6 Rule Number One 30.00 5.5 10-1
11 11 Morning Daddy 20.00 5.8 11-1 Scr
2 2 Port Arch 15.00 5.8 11-1
16 16 Frost Proof 6.00 6.3 12-1 Scr
9 9 Run for Boston 8.00 8 15-1
1 1 Kierland 3.50 8.3 16-1
8 8 Man of Chrome 20.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Heat Check 30.00 10.5 20-1
10 10 Wondermeister 12.00 10.5 20-1
3 3 Alexander David 4.00 11 21-1
7 7 Prince Reigner 6.00 12 23-1
13 13 Victory’s Cash 15.00 12 23-1 Scr
14 14 Space Key 4.00 12.3 23-1 Scr
12 12 Minus Two 15.00 14.5 27-1 Scr

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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