November 8, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Devilry | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Givetheman a Cigar | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tammany Giant | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Light the Vow | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quai Voltaire | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dwizard | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | I Miss My Father | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shipsandgoods | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Palladian Bridge | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frostie Anne | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Special Dividend | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | E Warfare | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cats Halo | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Splash of Sass | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Free Kitty | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paula’s Pistol | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Seam | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sunday Gravy | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Christmas Sky | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | First Dawn | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Peace Speaker | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 1 | Hit the Diamond | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 5 | Desperado | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 16 | 7 | D’ambrosio | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Playing Hooky | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 6 | Zap Zap Zap | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Electro | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Kulin Rock | 3.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Quintus Augustus | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sport | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Cumulative | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Nezet | 3.50 | 12.3 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Sentry | 12.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Summer Causeway | 50.00 | 13 | 25-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 2 | Spring On Curlin | 20.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Strong Side | 15.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Frost Wise | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cotton Candy Cutie | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Land Mine | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Three Eighty Eight | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Connie A | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Gobi | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Swiping Dan | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Notable | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | All Clear | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Triangulate | 1.60 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Pirate | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Bartletts Mark | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 2 | I’m an Ocala Dude | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Ninetyeighttwo | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Make the Rules | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 6 | Buss the Bell | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Harkness | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10A | 10 | Avery Maeve | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Liberale (FR) | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 2 | Tiz Rae Anna | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Town Tart | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Be Sure Lisa | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Sister Sophia | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Bigkat and Camille | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 6A | 3 | China Rider | 3.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Fear No Evil | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 6 | Crimson Frost | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wake Island | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Conquest Tizfire | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Miko | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Speighgal | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Church Social | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 4 | Miss Aja Brown | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Just Got Out | 2.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Bareeqa | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Warranty | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 12A | 12 | Seafire (IRE) | 8.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | First Charmer | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 6 | Might Be | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Jonquil | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gold Lace | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 2 | Kat O Mine | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tisbury | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 4 | Same Kinda Crazy | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Puparee | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Magnolia | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Madame Uno | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 5 | Unbridledadventure | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Indygita | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.