November 5, 2017 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Escondera |
0.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Tiger Paw |
0.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Get’erdonebud |
0.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Rebel Music |
0.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Red At Last |
0.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Liam’s Prince |
0.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
York Ranger |
0.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Martini Kid |
0.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Beer Pressure |
0.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Two Timing |
0.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Berkeley Boy |
0.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Is Bourbon |
0.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Foxy B |
0.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Leo’s Gold |
0.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Gryphon’s Brew |
0.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
J M R Turfiskey |
0.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Giant Mine |
0.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Spring in the Wind |
0.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Magical Holiday |
0.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
Scr |
7 |
5 |
Must Be Dreaming |
0.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Conquest Bad Girl |
0.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Two Tribes |
0.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Avie’s Zip |
0.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
Scr |
8 |
6 |
Whip Me Into Shape |
0.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Lillz So Precious |
0.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Essentially |
0.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Hampstead Heath |
0.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Hammerstein |
0.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Final Offer |
0.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Uncorked Spirit |
0.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Sombrero de Copa |
0.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
One Destiny |
0.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Run Run |
0.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Another Bid |
0.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Reallylikethisone |
0.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Firecracker Day |
0.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
R Dance Hall |
0.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Media Melee |
0.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Star Contender |
0.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Money Talker |
0.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Born in a Breeze |
0.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Salsa Bay |
0.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Sumerian Bell |
0.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Niigon’s Turn |
0.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Crushin Hard |
0.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Entwistle |
0.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
Scr |
14 |
13 |
Bear’sway |
0.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
13 |
12 |
Bear At Last |
0.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
|
12 |
11 |
Guitar George |
0.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Bourbon First |
0.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Strut N Stomp |
0.00 |
9.9 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Night Gathers (IRE) |
0.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Rare Gem |
0.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Summer Magic |
0.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Eldorado’s Soul |
0.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Gun Lobby |
0.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Miss Betty to U |
0.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Lailas Princess |
0.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Delaste Dance |
0.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Frost Delay |
0.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Summer Is Heaven |
0.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Box Office Star |
0.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
|
12 |
11 |
Super Chill |
0.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Sky Captain |
0.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Conquest Tsunami |
0.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Occasional View |
0.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Western Elegance |
0.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Constantino |
0.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Sweet Little Man |
0.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Dragon’s Cry |
0.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Sweet Grass Creek |
0.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Hollywood Critic |
0.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Coronation Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Cooler Mike |
0.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Bobby’s Escape |
0.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Kitten’s Boy |
0.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Wedgewood |
0.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Neepawa |
0.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Aheadbyacentury |
0.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Flight Deck |
0.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Theregoesjojo |
0.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Crumlin Night |
0.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Signature Heart |
0.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Crown Prince |
0.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Gizmo Jones |
0.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Guatemala City |
0.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Milwaukee Flash |
0.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Mighty Quinn |
0.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Mr. Dancin Man |
0.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Beareagle |
0.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
Scr |
9 |
8 |
Acting the Part |
0.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Gluten Free |
0.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
13 |
13 |
San Nicola Storm |
0.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Marcherdowntheally |
0.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Boathouse View |
0.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Princess Royal |
0.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Red Explosion |
0.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Matching Vows |
0.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Conquer the Sky |
0.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Warrior Hall |
0.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Midnight Brew |
0.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Camaria |
0.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Patton’s Girl |
0.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Broken Meadow |
0.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Set to Dance |
0.00 |
9.9 |
19-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.