November 5, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Copper Cowgirl | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Songofthedesert | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carpathia | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Z Z Tiger | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tisn’t She Lucky | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lovely Finish | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kentan Road | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dixie Run | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hansen Tale Blues | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Diamond Proof | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lovely Raquel | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Duranga | 1.60 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | American League | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Karma King | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Native Treasure | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Indavidualist | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Iron Rob | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Matriculate | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Retro | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Medaglia Gold | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Yesterday’s News | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tesora | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Klosters (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Avail | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holy Diver | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Upperclassman | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | It’s Tiz Time | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big League | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Southern Keys | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trickonomics | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Short of Ez | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Street to Indy | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hawks Peak | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Scandal | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Morning Dance | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sweet Connie | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Danuska’s My Girl | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Malibu Model | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sasini (GB) | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Glory and Power | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bee Sweet | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Make It a Triple | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Go Ghetto | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Patrick | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | True Ranger | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roosevelt | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Summer Buddha | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Adventurous | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Midnight Harbor | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rick’s Dream | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Slasher | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gotta Get Lucky | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hint to Win | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jeremy’s Legacy (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bert’s Melody | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cordiality | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moonless Sky | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Plastered | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Starlite Style | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bernina Star | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cheval Blanche | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 7 | Super Duper Cooper | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Brilliant Light | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kenzou’s Empire | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 6 | Topgallant | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Mr. Magico | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Chin Tu | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Vow’s Son | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Second Gear | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bryan Habana (ARG) | 0.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 2 | Bourbonmademedoit | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | John and Montan | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Wonderoveryonder | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.