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Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 4, 2017

November 4, 2017 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Silent Oaks 0.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Gosudarina 0.00 3 6-1
2 2 Eesti Star 0.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Post to Post 0.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Silent Consort 0.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Lady With Class 0.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Piper’s Heath 0.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Sweet Silent Soul 0.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Synthesize 0.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Gold Shark 0.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Gasconade 0.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Leo From Heaven 0.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Conquest Swagman 0.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Hemmin and Hawin 0.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 War Factory 0.00 6 11-1
8 8 Spanish Express 0.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Sevencomingout 0.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Colby Ol’ Fashion 0.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Over Sensual 0.00 2.1 4-1
12 12 Finbar 0.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 O’Kram 0.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Court Battle 0.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Noregretsfornow 0.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Shot of Glory 0.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Arrius 0.00 6 11-1
1 1 Buzzcut 0.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 I’se Dubai 0.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Make It Right 0.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 First Musketier 0.00 9.4 18-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
13 12 No Drinking Rules 0.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 It’s Fate 0.00 3 6-1
9 9 Redoute’s Light 0.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Follow My Lead 0.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Toupha 0.00 5.6 11-1 Scr
6 6 Mighty Zeus 0.00 6 11-1
2 2 Blakey 0.00 6 11-1
12 11 Hey Howie 0.00 6 11-1
3 3 Rose’s Vision 0.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Take Your Place 0.00 6.4 12-1
14 14 Gold Backed 0.00 7.3 14-1 Scr
15 15 Fort Mac 0.00 10.3 19-1 Scr
11 10 Marselan 0.00 10.3 19-1
1 1 Coolshade 0.00 12 23-1
4 4 Kilkenny Prospect 0.00 12.4 23-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
10 10 After Party 0.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Cherokee Knight 0.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Hunts Bay 0.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Call Me Gizmo 0.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Discreet Dan 0.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Lucky B. N. 0.00 4.7 9-1
12 12 D’s Double Eagle 0.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Cinnamon Bear 0.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Workingonmyspanish 0.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Grand Poobah 0.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Native Prancer 0.00 9 17-1
3 3 Drink It Neat 0.00 9.4 18-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Labeeb S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Tower of Texas 0.00 0.9 2-1
5 4 Glenville Gardens 0.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Money Talker 0.00 3 6-1 Scr
4 3 Field of Courage 0.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Shakhimat 0.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Dimension (GB) 0.00 4.7 9-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Uncle B 0.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Daylight Breeze 0.00 3 6-1
8 8 Majestic Fever 0.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Rock n’ Candy 0.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Ben Lomond 0.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Silent Flash 0.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Sunny’s Rainbow 0.00 6 11-1
4 4 Tale of Ronin 0.00 6 11-1
9 9 Signature Data 0.00 6 11-1
10 10 Nupogodi 0.00 6.4 12-1
11 11 Front Nine 0.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Maple Leaf S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Stella Rose 0.00 2.1 4-1 Scr
6 5 Involuntary 0.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Midnight Crossing (IRE) 0.00 2.6 5-1 Scr
4 3 Happyness (GB) 0.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Gamble’s Ghost 0.00 4.3 8-1
5 4 Giovanna Blues 0.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Ice Festival 0.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Sweater Weather 0.00 5.1 10-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 6 Chic Thrill 0.00 2.1 4-1
6 4 Scotty’s Model 0.00 3 6-1
9 7 The Craic 0.00 3 6-1
14 14 Conquest City Girl 0.00 3.4 6-1 Scr
3 2 Discreet Bear 0.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Street Cash 0.00 5.1 10-1 Scr
2 1 Way to Versailles 0.00 5.3 10-1
10 8 Reserved 0.00 6 11-1
13 13 Blurricane 0.00 6.4 12-1 Scr
12 12 West L. A. Girl 0.00 6.9 13-1 Scr
11 11 Super Sarah 0.00 9 17-1 Scr
7 5 Impossible Tale 0.00 9.9 19-1
5 3 Ekati Morning 0.00 10.7 20-1
1 1 Keep Your Head Up 0.00 10.7 20-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Speightstown Time 0.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Bourne Country 0.00 3 6-1
4 4 Giant Storm 0.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Aye Aye Captain 0.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Casses Story 0.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Court Savvy 0.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Worbothor 0.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Malibu Secret 0.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Storm Ruler 0.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Niigon Road 0.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
11 10 Smart Spree 0.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Ninth Symphony 0.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Ultimate Destiny 0.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Marten Lake 0.00 3.9 7-1
8 7 Sniper 0.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Forester’s Destiny 0.00 4.3 8-1
12 12 Oakton 0.00 4.7 9-1 Scr
3 3 Trouble in Phoenix 0.00 6.9 13-1
6 5 Drink in My Hand 0.00 8.1 15-1
13 11 Afleet Martini 0.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Dash of Dazzle 0.00 8.6 16-1 Scr
10 9 Cat Zapper 0.00 9 17-1
9 8 World of Prospects 0.00 10.7 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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