November 3, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Suburb |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Feelin Foxie |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Worthy of Love |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Sophia Is an Angel |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Many Blessings |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Sympathetic |
3.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Go Jamie Go |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Stated |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Crater Rim |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Mud Cat |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Ellie Girl |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Better Way |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Champagne Time |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Weatherurnot |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Include Gold |
1.80 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Chapel Gap |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
My City |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
10 |
9 |
Love You Much |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Radial Flyer |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
15 |
15 |
More Abundance |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Brians a Smarty |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Motown Rhythm |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
9 |
8 |
Ice On the Severn |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Mistake Present |
3.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Run From the Nun |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Legal Precedent |
3.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Piercinator |
10.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Stephen’s Answer |
10.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Totaled the Benz |
2.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Gotham Boy |
6.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Wilko’s Goldeneye |
15.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Party Regent |
15.00 |
14.8 |
28-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Bernard |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
Scr |
10 |
8 |
Channel Won |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Godlovesasinner |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Bilko |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Glam Slam |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Mr Small |
3.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Me Darlin Chessie |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
11 |
9 |
Preachin’ George |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Mercurial Miss |
6.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Make ‘Em All Pay |
3.50 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Paratycachaca |
15.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Mr. Smarty Pants |
3.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Encrypt |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Leather Goods |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Brighton Lane |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Don’t Poke the Cat |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Stand Guard |
2.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Absolute Pinnacle |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Smarty Smart |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Encinitas (IRE) |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Dothraki Sea |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Leighla |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Poco Del Sol |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
Scr |
10 |
9 |
Graceful Request |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Draconic Treasure |
6.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Sugar Shack |
5.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Setubal |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Pamina |
8.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Helena the First |
6.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Welly |
10.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
Scr |
12 |
10 |
Glitz |
15.00 |
12.8 |
24-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Mechuda |
20.00 |
14 |
26-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Iggy Loco |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Raise the Mast |
1.80 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
Scr |
14 |
14 |
Winter’s Gift |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Alarming |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Immunity |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Tennessee Wildcat |
4.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
12 |
10 |
Another for Mario |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Dream Breaker |
4.50 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Ice Tea |
1.60 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Papal Law |
30.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Chateau de Vizille |
3.50 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
11 |
9 |
On Tenterhooks |
5.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Beltway Bob |
15.00 |
12.5 |
24-1 |
Scr |
10 |
8 |
Bridge Builder |
20.00 |
13.8 |
26-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Squashville Road |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Deal Driven |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Fantasize |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
C B Bodemester |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Horseshoe Harbour |
5.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Mischievous Dan |
3.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Leroy Brown |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Soul Prince |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
River Deep |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
4A |
4 |
Mr. Magician |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Fly E Dubai |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
9A |
8 |
On the Wings Of |
3.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Galaxy Express |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Dream of Peace |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Trustifarian |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Bourbon and Beer |
10.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Jump Ship |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Virginia Royal |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Wrightwood |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
Scr |
10 |
10 |
Clubman |
1.80 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
8 |
6 |
Storm Team |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
11 |
7 |
Alive |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Surprise Twist |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Tam Tam Attack |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Bealestreet Dancer |
10.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
12 |
8 |
Dothat Dance |
4.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
All Alone |
10.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Chilly Bay |
20.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
Scr |
15 |
15 |
No Bull Addiction |
20.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Norco |
15.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Spring About |
8.00 |
12.3 |
23-1 |
|
14 |
9 |
Hashtag Bourbon |
12.00 |
12.3 |
23-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Brucarita |
6.00 |
12.8 |
24-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
8 |
Hermans Gold |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Kukulkan |
30.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Xtra Wisemann |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
First Opportunity |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Love Doctor |
1.80 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
8A |
7 |
It’s My Way |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Edify |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Done Acting |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
2A |
2 |
Wekiva’s Thunder |
10.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Man in the Canoe |
12.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.