November 3, 2017 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Damascus S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Leading Score | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kobe’s Back | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Bird | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Americanize | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Loose On the Town | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mr. Hinx | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Good Bye Greg | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Ritzy A. P. | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Conquest Sabre Cat | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Start a Runnin | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fritz Johansen | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cheekaboomboom | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Little Scotty | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Record Highs | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Terrys Tom Cat | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Music | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Soglio | 4.50 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lazzam (GB) | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Temple Keys | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | All Star Parade | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | South Americain | 12.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Iron Alex | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | City of Light | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sir Samson | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Donworth | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Pleasure | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dabster | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Camino de Estrella | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prime Issue | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | New Karma | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chief of Staff | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mesa Sky | 8.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Proud Zoning | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boy Howdy | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Golden State Juvenile Fillies S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Smiling Tigress | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Show It N Moe It | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spiced Perfection | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ismelucky | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pulpit Rider | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Family Girl | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One Fast Broad | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sharona Sunset | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mama’s Kid | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Marathon S. Presented By Taa
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Estrechada (ARG) | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dressed in Hermes | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Noble Nick | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hard Aces | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ground Rules | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Destin | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Archanova | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Infobedad (ARG) | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Happily (IRE) | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | September (IRE) | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Retro | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Dixie Moon | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fatale Bere (FR) | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ultima D | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Best Performance | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Juliet Capulet (IRE) | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rushing Fall | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Significant Form | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Moon Dash | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Capla Temptress (IRE) | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Goodthingstaketime (IRE) | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Orbolution | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Madeline (IRE) | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Now You’re Talking (IRE) | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Las Vegas Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mor Spirit | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cupid | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Giant Expectations | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Accelerate | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sharp Azteca | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gato Del Oro | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Slew | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Practical Joke | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Battle of Midway | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Iron Fist | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Masar (IRE) | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mendelssohn | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hemp Hemp Hurray | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Flameaway | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Encumbered | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Catholic Boy | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Pubilius Syrus | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Beckford (GB) | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Untamed Domain | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Voting Control | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Tap Daddy | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | James Garfield (IRE) | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | My Boy Jack | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Snapper Sinclair | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Rajasinghe (IRE) | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sands of Mali (FR) | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Longines Breeders’ Cup Distaff
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Champagne Room | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stellar Wind | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Abel Tasman | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Paradise Woods | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forever Unbridled | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Elate | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mopotism | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Romantic Vision | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Senator Ken Maddy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Snack Shack | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | So Sweetitiz | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Paquita Coqueta (CHI) | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Instant Reflex | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Street Surrender | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Belvoir Bay (GB) | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | What a Ten | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Little Jude | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Long Hot Summer | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Firsthand Report | 3.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Vigor | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.