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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 3, 2017

November 3, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Secret Scholar 8.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Bar None 1.40 1.8 3-1
4 4 Son of Mine 3.50 3 6-1
6 6 Conquest Expresso 2.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Tottie Royer 30.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Royal Burgh 15.00 6 11-1
2 2 Northern Grey 12.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 8 City of Dreams 4.00 1.3 2-1
5 4 My Roxy Girl 1.80 1.8 3-1
2 2 Scatback 5.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Shezerfirst 12.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Beautiful Buzz 6.00 5.5 10-1 Scr
4 3 Parlapiano 15.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Molly’s Nighthawk 8.00 6.5 12-1
6 5 Ferncourt 20.00 8.3 16-1
8 7 Girlie’s Dream 20.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Paz the Bourbon 8.00 2.3 4-1
7 6 Amazing Anne 2.50 2.5 5-1
4 3 Table for Six 6.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Wild About Harry 3.50 3.8 7-1 Scr
2 2 Iron Mizz 6.00 5 9-1
6 5 Lady Joan 3.00 5.8 11-1
5 4 Weather Girl 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Tempted S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Sweet Candy Dance 8.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Navajo 0.80 2.5 5-1
3 3 Lady Freedom 15.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Oldfashioned Style 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Daisy 2.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 One Last Cast 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
9 8 Free N Clear 10.00 2.5 5-1
8 7 Kacy Lauren 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 Baronet 6.00 4.5 9-1
5 4 Rockin Alli 3.00 4.5 9-1
7 6 Eighth Commandment 15.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Khaleesi Kat 2.50 5 9-1
2 2 Jcs American Dream 0.60 6.3 12-1 Scr
6 5 Ten Penny Princess 12.00 7.3 14-1
3 2 Sugar Mags 4.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 2 Gio d’Oro 4.00 2 4-1
4 3 Da King and I 20.00 2.5 5-1
5 4 Hokulea 12.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Sea Foam 1.00 4 8-1
7 6 Flash Drive 8.00 4 8-1
8 7 Anything Pazible 10.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Zenato 6.00 6 11-1
2 2 Claude’salleycat 20.00 8 15-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Ackeret 5.00 1.5 3-1 Scr
1 1 Ifyousnoozeyoulose 12.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 Play Big 10.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Special Jo 6.00 4 8-1
7 6 Risk Management 15.00 6.5 12-1
9 8 Papa Freud 30.00 6.5 12-1
12 10 Fortuitous Path 6.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Big Zip 3.00 7.8 15-1 Scr
4 3 Island Therapy 30.00 7.8 15-1
5 4 Saratoga Heater 4.00 9.5 18-1
8 7 The Silent One 30.00 9.8 18-1
11 9 Bear Clause 20.00 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
10 10 Daddy D T 6.00 3.5 7-1
15 15 Broken Engagement 1.60 3.6 7-1 Scr
6 6 Enduring Honor 15.00 3.8 7-1
12 12 Warm Springs 10.00 4.5 9-1
14 14 Main Road 5.00 5 9-1 Scr
4 4 Baratti 6.00 6 11-1
3 3 Liquid Aloha 20.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Twenty Four Seven 6.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Strike Midnight 3.50 8.5 16-1
7 7 Any Questions 12.00 9.3 17-1
16 16 Two Down One to Go 2.50 11 21-1 Scr
5 5 Cheyenne Bull 3.00 12 23-1
11 11 Manifest Destiny 20.00 12 23-1
13 13 Tiz a Chance 20.00 12.5 24-1 Scr
1 1 Thirsty Donnerstag 30.00 13.8 26-1
2 2 Alkasser (IRE) 15.00 14.8 28-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Rocky Policy 5.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Eila 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Divine Miss Grey 10.00 4.5 9-1 Scr
9 8 Carolina Shag 20.00 4.5 9-1
6 5 Sunnysammi 8.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Louisville First 15.00 5.8 11-1
7 6 First of Spring (IRE) 2.00 6.3 12-1
8 7 Spiga (IRE) 12.00 7 13-1
5 4 Fire Key 2.50 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Viradia 5.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Caoimhe 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Go Kelly Go 1.60 3.3 6-1
4 4 Blue Eyes 10.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Lune Lake 6.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Mojito Margarita 3.50 5 9-1
3 3 Dance for Mon 30.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Sabellina’s Sister 12.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Reyana Reya Dreams 30.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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