October 29, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Patriot Drive | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Baseline | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hembree | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Astounding | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Main Road | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King of Spades | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shamcat | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Killybegs Captain | 6.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Caribbean | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Mohican | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Brianbakescookies | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honorable Jonas | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Panama Papers | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Harlan’s Hunch | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Wingman | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Gio | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Unforeseeable | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brancato | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Participation Cup | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Champagne Papi | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cookie Crisp | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Chelsey Flower S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Go Noni Go | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Radiant Beauty | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mrs. Ramona G. | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | English Soul | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | March X Press | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wise Gal | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Oldfashioned Style | 2.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Bramble Queen | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eighty Six Mets | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 10A | 10 | Raucous | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Drama Run | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fairy Link | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Night Time Lady | 3.50 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jody’s Song | 12.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 14A | 14 | Oh Zap | 15.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Golden Orb | 6.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Light the Vow | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Givetheman a Cigar | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quai Voltaire | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Musicality | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Devilry | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Miss My Father | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mydadfloyd | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tammany Giant | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shipsandgoods | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tommy T | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Switzerland | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Anchor | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Distorted Admiral | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Business Cycle | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stan the Man | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pendant | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Anna Rae | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sand Shark | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Daring Prospect | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maddy’s Way | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Whim | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paluxy Princess | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Persky’s Spirit | 50.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uno Dude | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Conquest Tizfire | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Church Social | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Warranty | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Just Got Out | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Speighgal | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bareeqa | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ultimate Cause | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Aja Brown | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lethal Legacy | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bigkat and Camille | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Indygita | 8.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Madame Barbarian | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thrice | 12.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Pumpkin Pie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lucy N Ethel | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fusaichi Red | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Indulgent | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cursor | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Summer Reading | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiffany Case | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bustin Out | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Burkey’s Babe | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Jacqueline D | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smart Throb | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Paz the Wine | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Unspoken Mission | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Bayshore Beauty | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Cookin | 8.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cetara | 4.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Youth Gone Wild | 3.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Louisiana Lady | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ava Rae | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Live That Fantasy | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Justenuff Hope | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reconsider It | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Bowl of Kisses | 15.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Courageous Change | 15.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.