October 28, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Double Cast | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Artistic Quality | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Furtive Glance | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Windjammer (GER) | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Muscade | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ormolu Lu | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rose Garden | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Saratoga Wildcat | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Hiding Place | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Set the Trappe | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gambler’s Ghost | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Morning Buzz | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chosen One Elijah | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | Major League | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Conquest Twister | 6.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Throw the Deuce | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bad Guy | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Runnin for Dace | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No Mo Promises | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thank You So Much | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Chasindamoney | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Lucky Enuff | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 11 | Good Old Boy | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bunyan’s Axe | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pequeno Grande | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blessed Honour | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Laura’s Posse | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Buss the Bell | 50.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Midnight Cello | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Nonna’s Boy | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Captain Moss | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Nominal Dollars | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | War Eagle’s Return | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 6 | Are We Not Men | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Lay It Down | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Saltine Warrior | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Taoiseach | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Point Hope | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Witch Doctor | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Congruity | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Assay | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blockade | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fast Boat | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Desert Stone (IRE) | 8.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Analyze It | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Power Boss | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 14A | 14 | Mathematician | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Pragmatist | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8A | 8 | Le Condor (GER) | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Ego | 8.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Thunder Mesa | 12.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cullum Road | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Shiloh Lane | 12.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Spirit Fly | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 15 | Pecan Pattie | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Shanghai Jewel | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gold Zipper | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Glossy | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Venkat | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Danyelli | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Solitary Gem | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Paranoia | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Shopping | 2.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Circle the Bases | 3.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 10 | Andina Del Sur | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dream Fever | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tap Tap Taparoo | 6.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Vale | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thea Afroditi | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Athenia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Time and Motion | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Impression | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elysea’s World (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Puca | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Off Limits (IRE) | 2.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Juno (BRZ) | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Decked Out | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Penjade (FR) | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Conquest Tizfire | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Firsthand Report | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Thundering Sky | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Caroline | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Westit (GB) | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Turnback The Alarm H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Verve’s Tale | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miss Sky Warrior | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Birdatthewire | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | A Place to Shine | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Eskenformoney | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tejana | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Indian Paint | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Bold Ruler H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Mr. Crow | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Divining Rod | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Banner | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Stallwalkin’ Dude | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Green Gratto | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tommy Macho | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Tale of S’avall | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Beasley | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ready for Rye | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Seymourdini | 3.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Tom’s Ready | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Awad S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon Currency | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Therapist | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sand Dancer | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Looking Ready | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Empirically | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Way Early | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lone Sentry | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | V. I. P. Code | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Devine Entry | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | War Chest | 1.80 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.