October 26, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Mo’vette |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Out Ofthe Ordinary |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Arethusa (GB) |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Rosie My Rosie |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Mangita |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
You’re A Goat (GB) |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Skradin (ARG) |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Hal’s Buddy |
10.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Ryder’s Starlight |
8.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Kona Dreams |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Rafter One |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
War Union |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Night’s Watch |
2.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
True Valor |
2.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Rolls Royce Deal |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Raven Creek |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Jersey’s Heat |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
My Journey |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Minister’s Glory |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
13 |
13 |
The Sleepy Prince |
50.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
King Eddie |
30.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Push Through |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
Scr |
11 |
10 |
Catability |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Hardboot |
8.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Gringo Star |
3.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Dos Palos |
20.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Rustic Canyon |
15.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Powerful Thirst |
3.50 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Shaymin |
15.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Southern Darling |
15.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Cheese |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Pam’s Joy |
2.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Smil’n From Above |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Forthenineteen |
1.80 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
I’m No Patsy |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Family Rules |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Royal Bar |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Silver Fury |
12.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Snazzy Dresser |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Derby Factor |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Creatively |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Colormemoney |
2.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Moon Juice |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Trapper Peak |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Doc Curlin |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
Scr |
9 |
7 |
Home Run Kitten |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
2 |
Anatolian Heat |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Cimpl Man |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
11 |
9 |
Coastline |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Law Abidin Citizen |
4.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
10 |
8 |
Holy Whirl Wind |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
Eric the Trojan |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
3 |
1 |
Tribal Fighter |
4.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
5 |
3 |
Mithqaal |
30.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Drummer (GER) |
30.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Poco Suenos |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Empress of Lov |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
She Can Too |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Midnight Summer |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Tiger Mom |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
We Will Re Joyce |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Roaring Fork |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Alternate Rhythm |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Croatian |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Sandbed |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Charming Gent |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Pointed |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
It’s a New Year |
5.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Super Classic |
50.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Charlie Cowden |
3.50 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Extrordinary Jerry |
5.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Blended Citizen |
12.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Falcone |
4.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Purr Cat |
12.00 |
12.5 |
24-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.