October 26, 2017 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Opportunity Cost |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Hay Listen Up |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Perro Rojo |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Luther D |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
King of All Media |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
French Command |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Pontastic |
5.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Kahramani |
4.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Troisade |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2A |
2 |
Flatter the Queen |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Oso Ready |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Uncle Jerry |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
6A |
5 |
Preemptive Strike |
3.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Mikeandchickdidit |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Brave John |
4.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Rock Shandy |
4.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Cliff’s Notes |
30.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Trockette |
12.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
13 |
13 |
Divorce |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Tiz Toffee |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Enrage |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Evenscore |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
More Monique |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Fast Track Kathern |
6.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Sky Diety |
15.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Medlin |
4.50 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Fun Sucker |
15.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Morning Belle |
20.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Candy Lou |
6.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Inplay |
12.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Joanie’s Crush |
12.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Go Leah Go |
12.00 |
12.8 |
24-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
4 |
Many Waters |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
French Oak |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Hidden Garden |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
She’s Got a Shot |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Pampered Vow |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
13 |
13 |
Indian Gem |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Kells |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
14A |
14 |
Prose in Motion |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
Scr |
5 |
3 |
Moment of Triumph |
12.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
4 |
2 |
Missy Baba |
30.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
11 |
9 |
Zemo |
30.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Perfect Prize |
30.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
|
7A |
5 |
Myfavorite Mistake |
20.00 |
12.3 |
23-1 |
|
12 |
10 |
Corianna |
30.00 |
13.8 |
26-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
12B |
11 |
In the Mood |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Our Girl Abby |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Regal Dame |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Gypsy Janie |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Traum’s Dream |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
9 |
8 |
Big Axe |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Lunaris |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Got Moxie |
20.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
14A |
14 |
Agora |
15.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
Scr |
1A |
1 |
Pushy Girl |
15.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
13B |
12 |
Bringyourownbottle |
3.50 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
D’ Cat |
12.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Sunshine Cake |
15.00 |
12.5 |
24-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Lullingstone |
20.00 |
13.8 |
26-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
12 |
12 |
High North |
4.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Enjoy the Journey |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Cove Blue |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Ride a Comet |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Sandville |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Victory Lane |
2.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Paynter’s Boy |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Honor the Empire |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Grade |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Street Trust |
15.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Twist Off |
12.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Tiz Our Turn |
20.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Arched Feather |
30.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Coco Mon |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Applicator |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Sir Dudley Digges |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Hay Dakota |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Kasaqui (ARG) |
1.60 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Thatcher Street |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Dragon Bay |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Up With the Birds |
5.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
One Go All Go |
12.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
14 |
14 |
Shar Ran |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Bella Belle |
30.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
Scr |
9 |
8 |
Miss Kentucky |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
12 |
11 |
Golden Domer |
4.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Paintergone |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Star Quest |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Verna Lea |
15.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Five Star Factor |
10.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Daria’s Angel |
15.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
15 |
15 |
Fun |
20.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Stormin Babe |
15.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Annathela |
8.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Covenant |
3.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Blue Chicory |
20.00 |
12.3 |
23-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Caroline Test |
4.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
|
16 |
16 |
Conquest Classic |
20.00 |
13.5 |
26-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Campioni |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Gostisbehere |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
American Sea |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
10A |
9 |
Broomhill |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Moneigh Moproblems |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Kaliningrad |
5.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Kitten Silver |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
11A |
10 |
Wazzup Chuck |
6.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Petty Gambit |
30.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Drayke’s Channel |
8.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Lo’s Journey |
6.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.