October 26, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Private Reality |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Last Port |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Crushem Tank |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Spasini |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Andy’s Legacy |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Clip Joint |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Scott’s Song |
3.50 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Proudtobe |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Bella Be Quick |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Sea Strollin |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Salute Lillian |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Striscetta |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Missie’s Wild Card |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Asami |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Vitt Bitt |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Toni’s Vow |
2.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Tattle Tail Sue |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Tough Landing |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Eunice |
8.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Thats Roger Song |
15.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
County Coroner |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
Scr |
8 |
6 |
Bakota |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Cajunman |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Saint Dansant |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Charlie’s Image |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Whiskey Thief |
2.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Last of the Luck |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
D’money Honey |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Ocean Croissant |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Harlons Commision |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Flatter Up |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
1A |
9 |
Five Star Nap |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
2 |
Rise Above It |
2.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
Scr |
2 |
4 |
A Great Vice |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
2 |
She’sagraciouslady |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
3 |
Oh Dear Lord |
4.50 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
2B |
5 |
Blessed Song |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
My Sugar Cat |
10.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
3 |
1 |
Wave Goodbye |
10.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Brie Brie’s Joy |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Panzer |
20.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Off On Holiday |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Thunder Alley |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Valid Prospector |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Starook |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Tiznberry |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Clasifrontier |
8.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Northpine |
4.50 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Tim Pins |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Blue Code |
20.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Crude Operator |
15.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Super Stroke |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Whence |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Boogie Miester |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Southern Mister |
1.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Montbrooks Miracle |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Stihl Harbor |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Cat Sup |
4.50 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Copper Cajun |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Masculino |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Jo Allen’s Buddy |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Collin’s Mystery |
10.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Full Fleet |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
My Gal Sarah |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Belleofthebayou |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Fonda Carlos |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Heavenly Quest |
3.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Boogie Gal |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Little Miss Sparky |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Miss Hospitality |
5.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Shakeitifuluvme |
12.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Angelic Kriss |
15.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Carson’s Katie |
6.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Gibby’s Spot |
30.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Just Stormin |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Dance Champion |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Bluegrass Punch |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Valiant City |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Ruston Vow |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Midnight Ruler |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Culp’s Hill |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Just Kissing Buck |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Quiet Concert |
10.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Double Star |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Thank Ya Jesus |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Lightning Lewis |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Boogie Toogie |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Calimor |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Prayer Boy |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Cajun Cash |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
My Madelyns On |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Candy Assay |
1.80 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Run Rhea Run |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Zarb’s Jackie |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Bayou Lady |
3.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
10 |
9 |
Hay Viene Navidad |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Ever More Winner |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Half a Jag |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Tizberry Wine |
4.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Itsbouttime |
10.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Star of Ekati |
10.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
April’sblackmagic |
30.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.