October 26, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Mr. Dougie Fresh |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Lucky Town |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
City Traveler |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Jegos Fire |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Mr. Euro |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Mission Command |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Mineralogy |
3.50 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Hopper Dropper |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Colonel Andy |
4.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
White Missile |
5.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Heavenly Sun |
30.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Pink Sands |
1.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Indy Union |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
South of the Shore |
2.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Fingerpaint |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Delta House |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
3 |
Silver Shaker |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
Dovecote |
2.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
5 |
Sunrise Ruby |
30.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3A |
3 |
Just Got Out |
0.80 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
Scr |
9 |
6 |
Violet Blue |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
7A |
7 |
Jcs American Dream |
0.80 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
Scr |
10 |
7 |
Palinodie (FR) |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Unbridledadventure |
5.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Graceful Gal |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Glory to Kitten |
8.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
11 |
10 |
Got the Gist |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Impazible Woman |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
16 |
16 |
Bayshore Beauty |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Forever Rising |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
14 |
12 |
Mazmania |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Itsthemoney |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Grand Banks |
4.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
15 |
15 |
Justenuff Hope |
30.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Hardly Mate |
3.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
12 |
11 |
Havana Affair |
12.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Tweet Street |
30.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
Scr |
13 |
13 |
Madame Ambassador |
20.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Elegant Jem |
8.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Prima Attrice |
20.00 |
14.5 |
27-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Lady Love |
50.00 |
14.5 |
27-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Lemongrass |
30.00 |
14.8 |
28-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Miss Hot Stones |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Missimpazi |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Cathy Naz |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Byself |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Lindsay’s Treasure |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Anne’s Song |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Very Charming |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Promise Me Roses |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Here’s Wattever |
20.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Barrel of Destiny |
20.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
10 |
9 |
Performance Bonus |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
War Stroll |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Cordero (IRE) |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Djulpan |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Sallisaw |
3.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
Scr |
12 |
11 |
Abbot |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Outrageous Bet |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Camp Courage |
5.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Any Questions |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Lone Trader |
12.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Tiz a Chance |
10.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Snake Oil Charlie |
50.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Zoot Suit |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Texas Two Step |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Nate’s Tizzy |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
A Fleet Attitude |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Always a Suspect |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
7A |
6 |
Very Very Stella |
2.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Summer Revolution |
1.80 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
1A |
1 |
Lewys Vaporizer |
2.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Via Egnatia |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Capitaine |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Sparty Boy |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Halloween Horror |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Classic Covey |
2.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Hot and Heavy |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Bootlegger (FR) |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Nutzforboltz |
3.50 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
4A |
4 |
Glennrichment |
15.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
10A |
10 |
Hammerin Aamer |
15.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
This Bird Can Sing |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
The Cake Is a Lie |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Madeline’s Hope |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
She’sakittykat |
5.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Filly Madison |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Desert Affair |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Hay Field |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Spender |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
15 |
15 |
Red Brook Road |
30.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Tough Old Bird |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Anna Liffey |
30.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
New York Event |
20.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Tiffany’s Vision |
30.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
First Dawn |
30.00 |
13.5 |
26-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Cosmic Love |
30.00 |
14.8 |
28-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.