October 25, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Crazy About Jazz |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
Scr |
5 |
3 |
Foreign Affair |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Murrell’s Belle |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Animauxselle |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Dynamic War |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
Scr |
10 |
6 |
Jump for Joy |
2.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
The Two Nancy’s |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
Scr |
4 |
2 |
Sandy Belle |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Strawberry Tequila |
8.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
Scr |
6 |
4 |
Veil Dance |
6.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
8 |
5 |
Can’tcatchtheraxx |
20.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Naples Parade |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Lil Mo Gold |
12.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Merger Arbitrage |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Magic Joan |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Miss Maker |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Forever Wife |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Aoife |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1A |
4 |
Bitumen |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Devine Dental |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Cloud Control |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Toohottoevenspeak |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Arbitrator |
2.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
4 |
Acoustic |
1.80 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Impact Player |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Egyptian Prince |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
5 |
Indimaaj |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Gravitating |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Nightstrings |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
1A |
8 |
Alkhaatam |
3.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Potomac |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Triple Dog Dare |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Grandmas Favorite |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
8 |
Storm Factor |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Stratosphere |
2.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
Scr |
5 |
3 |
Vital |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
5 |
Curlin’s New Moon |
2.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Indifference |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Namarunu (GER) |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
Solid |
3.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
1A |
6 |
Ambassador Jim |
2.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
4 |
2 |
The Presidency |
5.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
14 |
14 |
Crimson Frost |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Initiate |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Viva Vegas |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
11 |
9 |
Dancing Breeze (IRE) |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Abbreviate |
2.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
1A |
16 |
Jonquil |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
15 |
15 |
Thirstforthecup |
2.50 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
Scr |
8 |
6 |
Bride Street |
15.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Bonita Springs |
30.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Secede |
12.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Beat the Benchmark |
6.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Zenbennie |
30.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
Scr |
9 |
7 |
Ladies Day |
15.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
|
1 |
11 |
Remarqued |
12.00 |
12.5 |
24-1 |
|
12 |
10 |
Fly By |
10.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Super Marina |
20.00 |
15.5 |
29-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Not in Charge |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Bird’s Eye View |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Flash Trading |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Sheikinator |
30.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Seat of Honor |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Memories of Peter |
4.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Focus Group |
2.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Holiday Bonus |
3.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Shamsaan |
5.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Your Love |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Royal Inheritance |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Littlemissbusiness |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Felini |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Riot Worthy |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Arella Rockstar |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
13 |
7 |
Special Jo |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
10 |
5 |
Fundy’s Tide |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
3 |
Theycallhimthekid |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Tiznoble |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
11 |
12 |
Springers Point |
30.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
Scr |
8 |
9 |
Street Shark |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
Scr |
1A |
8 |
Rapscallion |
2.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
Scr |
5 |
3 |
Padilla |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Marriage Fever |
10.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
Scr |
12 |
6 |
Big Guy Ian |
5.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
7 |
4 |
Rockford |
3.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
9 |
10 |
With Exultation |
8.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Canarsie Kid |
5.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
Scr |
4 |
2 |
Wildcatpleasures |
20.00 |
13.8 |
26-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.