October 22, 2017 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wings Locked Up | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Far Right | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yockey’s Warrior | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Etruscan | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crewman | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wilbo | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4A | 4 | Villa Elena | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Sneaky Betty | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Clever Serve | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Nancy Doll | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Jemrose | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Perfect Diamond | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Schmiss | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Acorn | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 8 | Yooou Den | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jasmene | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 7 | Yearning | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Limerick Lady | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ichtli | 50.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Spanish Arch | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red Hot Cherry | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 5 | Chub’s Charmer | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Kate N Abs Reward | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | She’s Lovely | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Seattle Firm | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bold Prophet | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Gottsacker | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Almoreb | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Dreamrider | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Campioni | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Halifax | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Gostisbehere | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 12 | Le Pin (IRE) | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | High Promise | 3.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Border Force | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dreamology | 8.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | I Am Iron Max | 8.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Elsie Time | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Wazzup Chuck | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Markitoff | 8.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Arch Daddy | 10.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Rise Above It | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Case Cracker | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Scat Lady | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Bellatori | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Racey Reecey | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Yankee | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sagara | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Dustem Carolina | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Princess Dinah | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kitty Kat Kate | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Get Explicit | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Moonlight Rain | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Regal Dame | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 9 | Arabella Bella | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Thewayiam (FR) | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Vanilla Cat | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Casatoria | 50.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 8 | Nikki’s Cause | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | High Tech | 12.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 10 | La Dama | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Malibu Saint | 4.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Caroline the Great | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Passion Plus | 15.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Oh Zap | 8.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Cubs Win | 12.00 | 14.8 | 28-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Antarctic | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Raining Moolah | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | One Thirty Nine | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Plainsman | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Zanesville | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Title Ready | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Seauxtale | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sourdough | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Rood And Riddle Dowager S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Apple Betty (IRE) | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Place des Vosges | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Polar Vortex | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Grateful | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Daring Duchess | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coco Channel | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Promotional | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Daddy’s Boo | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lottie | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bootsy’s Girl | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Rocket Time | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Big Squeeze | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Rocking the Boat | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wyeth | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zulu | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Sir Navigator | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Icatiro | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Grand Candy | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sonoma Crush | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.