October 22, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Forge | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Holding Aces | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | May Be a Diamond | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Curtis | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Valyrian | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Javelin | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Going Strong | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | News Anchor | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Now a Factor | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Perfectexpectation | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Magnetron | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Vincent | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gotham’s Storm | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stormy Justin | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | English Channical | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Life in Shambles | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hey Jabber Jaw | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Great Stuff | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clever Royal | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Hammers Vision | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Eighty Three | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jahaafel | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Im the Captain Now | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Captain Hardship | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Desperado | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Culture Carrier | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Summer Causeway | 50.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Florentine Kitten | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shahroze (IRE) | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Critics Award | 30.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Guick | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bar None | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Shamrocked | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | The Orphan Miracle | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lightning Buzz | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tottie Royer | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Auburn Avenue | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ten Twenty Nine | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Passporttovictory | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Itsinthestars | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Alabama Bound | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | High Jingo | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jumpin’ Nancy | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Objective Complete | 3.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Swayed | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiffanys Freud | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Laura’s Patriot | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lulu’s Blues | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cool as You Like | 2.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Head Shrinker | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – English Channel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | No Dozing | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Souper Tapit | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | You’re to Blame | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Let’s Get Loud | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bird’s Eye View | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Sonic Mule | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Dalarna | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hammerin Aamer | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 7 | Fact Finding | 4.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lunaire | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Harlan’s Harmony | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Sandy’z Slew | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fratello Del Nord | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Cliffs of Dover | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Yummy Bear | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Speightful Kitten | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Whiskey Seven | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | The Crocheron Kid | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pegasus Red | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Robey’s Boy | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Manoffire | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Data Dependent | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Reality Queen | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Moi | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Celebrity Glitter | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moviemaker | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Special Trip | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pass It On | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My New Daughter | 50.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Lemoona | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Berningbrightly | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Really Proud | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Fingerpaint | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Solar Vortex | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sheputaspellonme | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.