Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 21, 2017

October 21, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Lindante 4.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Indavidualist 1.40 2.7 5-1
5 4 Gentrified 3.50 2.9 5-1
8 7 Real Big Deal 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Gunslinger 20.00 5.4 10-1
7 6 Mimis Big Boy 15.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Giro Candito 6.00 6.6 12-1 Scr
4 3 Chromium 12.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 6 Crazy Uncle Rick 3.00 1.4 3-1
8 7 Curly’s Rocket 4.00 2.4 5-1
4 3 Italiano 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Big and Loud 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 4 Concur 4.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Greyvitos 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 5 Blame the Rider 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Getaloadofthis 10.00 6.3 12-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Spanish Hombre 2.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Rocket Fuel 5.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 General Ike 3.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Excessive Kid 3.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Conquest Sabre Cat 4.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Verraco 12.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Defiantly 10.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Willows Babe 1.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Dovetail 12.00 3 6-1
4 4 Millie Joel 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Dialed to Go 4.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Miss Kitaen 4.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Justabean 50.00 5 9-1
8 8 La Chepis 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Ryan’s Star 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – California Flag H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Richard’s Boy 2.00 2 4-1
2 2 Gold Rush Dancer 3.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Tribalist 1.80 4 8-1
6 6 B Squared 5.00 4 8-1
3 3 Dr. Troutman 15.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 El Tovar 15.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 California Diamond 12.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Fracas 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Angelina’s Heaven 8.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Halo Girl 15.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Gray Diva 4.00 4.6 9-1 Scr
7 7 Mischievous Song 5.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Misty Slew 8.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Novafactum 8.00 6 11-1
6 6 Anuska Thunder 50.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Shook 6.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 6 Guy Code 5.00 2.3 4-1
4 3 Cherubim 3.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Heir of Storm 4.00 3 6-1
8 7 G. A. Betting 12.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Sweetwater Gal 6.00 5.6 11-1 Scr
1 1 Frac Candy 2.50 5.7 11-1
5 4 Swiss Minister 12.00 5.9 11-1
6 5 Lambo Luxx 6.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Pacific Wind 1.60 3.1 6-1
2 2 That’s a Lady 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 4 Spooky Woods 1.80 3.3 6-1
3 3 La Force (GER) 3.50 4.3 8-1
7 6 Time for Ebby 12.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Midnight Lilly 10.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Merirosvo 15.00 5.3 10-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
10 10 Temple Princess 3.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Rag Top 12.00 4.6 9-1
14 14 Time to Play 20.00 4.9 9-1 Scr
3 3 Polished 8.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Casino Red (IRE) 6.00 6 11-1
7 7 Scat Home Lady 4.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Blessed Union 8.00 6.7 13-1
12 12 Paved 8.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Ippodamia’s Girl 6.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Conformation 20.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Sudden Light 30.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 All Net 12.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 Harmony Victory 20.00 9.7 18-1
13 13 Biscate 30.00 10.4 20-1 Scr

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.