October 21, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Stakes) – Maryland Million And/or Registered Maryland Bred H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Love’s Legend |
10.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Shifra Magician |
1.40 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Beyond Forever |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Unbridled Escape |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Fly and Flutter |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Participate |
3.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Pardontori’sfrench |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Moral High Ground |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Eyerish Inspired |
4.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Stakes) – Maryland Million And/or Registered Maryland Bred Starter H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Legal Punch |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Helloitsme |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
12 |
11 |
I Stand Alone |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Broad Lover |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
16 |
16 |
Sebray |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Raven Rush |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Minor Legend |
15.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
15 |
15 |
Classic Wildcat |
4.50 |
8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
14 |
13 |
Captain Alex |
15.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Schlosser |
5.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Horseshoe Harbour |
30.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Photogenic |
20.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Whiskey Sour |
12.00 |
12.5 |
24-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Who Stole My Sock |
30.00 |
13.8 |
26-1 |
Scr |
13 |
12 |
Senor Quickie |
12.00 |
13.8 |
26-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Mr. Spaceman |
15.00 |
14 |
26-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Maryland Million Nursery S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Jamaican Don |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Stroll Smokin |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
9 |
8 |
Onemoregreattime |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Fenton’s Four |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Pascal Chant |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Nico Bree N Teej |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Oldies But Goodies |
4.50 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
Scr |
13 |
13 |
Broad Surprise |
8.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Hermans Gold |
30.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Taxable Goods |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Chinquapin |
12.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Clever Mind |
5.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Whereshetoldmetogo |
2.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
Scr |
14 |
14 |
Swingstage |
30.00 |
12.3 |
23-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Maryland Million Sprint H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
3 |
Blu Moon Ace |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Rockinn On Bye |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Lewisfield |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Final Prospect |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
Scr |
11 |
5 |
Winplaceorshowono |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
4 |
Easy River |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Pete’s Play Call |
5.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
Scr |
6 |
2 |
Vim |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
12 |
6 |
Struth |
6.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
No More Talk |
15.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Victory Chimes |
20.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Nicaradalic Rocks |
15.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
Scr |
13 |
7 |
Smile for Eternity |
30.00 |
12.8 |
24-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Maryland Million Lassie S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Limited View |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Pikachu Princess |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
To Be Honest |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Margie’s Money |
2.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Enchanted Star |
2.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Oh So Lovely |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Frechette |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Pearl Gem |
6.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Talk About Magic |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Fanniebellefleming |
20.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Dance Or Stroll |
20.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Singing Sarah |
30.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Buff’s in Love |
15.00 |
12.3 |
23-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Angel by the Sea |
20.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Stakes) – Maryland Million And/or Registered Maryland-bred Turf Starter H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
10 |
8 |
Feel Proud |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
11 |
9 |
Grecian Prince |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
15 |
13 |
Hibernia Fire |
30.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Chilly Bay |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Open the Bank |
30.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Willy d’Rocket |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Fletched |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
No Knock Raid |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
12 |
10 |
Zen’s Land |
6.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Testudo |
30.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
14 |
12 |
Slip and Drive |
4.50 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Lay Down the Law |
15.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Vision of Green |
20.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
Scr |
13 |
11 |
Soup d’Coupe |
6.00 |
12.3 |
23-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Scrapple |
30.00 |
14 |
26-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Maryland Million Distaff H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Rocky Policy |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
She Rolls |
20.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
My Magician |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Up Hill Battle |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Faze the Nation |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Crabcakes |
0.60 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Daylight Ahead |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Item |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Moon Virginia |
12.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Hell of Afire |
12.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
If I Was a Boy |
20.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Scip’s Sonata |
30.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Maryland Million Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Spartianos |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Bonus Points |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
14 |
14 |
Enough Is Enough |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
16 |
16 |
Team Tim |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
John Jones |
2.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
No More Talk |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Somekindofmagician |
2.50 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Talk Show Man |
2.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Tricky Lion |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Jerandson |
15.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Just Howard |
1.60 |
10 |
19-1 |
Scr |
11 |
10 |
Ghost Bay |
8.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Grandiflora |
6.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Tizzarunner |
6.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Dothat Dance |
8.00 |
14.3 |
27-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
All Alone |
20.00 |
14.3 |
27-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Maryland Million Ladies S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Rocky Policy |
4.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
Scr |
8 |
6 |
Great Soul |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
Northern Smile |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Moon Virginia |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Barrel of Dreams |
3.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
Scr |
9 |
7 |
Devilish Love |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Magician’s Vanity |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
My Sistersledge |
10.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Forgiving |
30.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Nickyrocksforpops |
15.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Wowwhatabrat |
20.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Maryland Million Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Bonus Points |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
12 |
11 |
Southside Warrior |
10.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
John Jones |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Jerandson |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Clubman |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
11 |
10 |
Ghost Bay |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Flash McCaul |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Legend’s Hope |
30.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Ballivor |
30.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Admirals War Chest |
10.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Takethattothebank |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Nicaradalic Rocks |
15.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Stakes) – Maryland Million And/or Registered Maryland-bred Distaff Starter H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Gimme Kimmy |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Chesapeake Spring |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Color Me Sexy |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Miss Nosy |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Katie’s Caddie |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Chapel of Chimes |
2.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Proud Maid Marian |
10.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Stormy Mama |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Sommer Something |
8.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Northern Prancer |
15.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.