October 21, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Gosilently | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Summer Mischief | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Catch a Cab | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | J J’s Dreaming | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zonic | 1.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Grand Valour | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Appealing Briefs | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Constant Knight | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Heart in Hand | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Space Key | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Maid Of The Mist S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Newport Breeze | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cause We Are Loyal | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Berning Rose | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I Still Miss You | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Droselmeyr’s Smile | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pure Silver | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Mystique | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Held Accountable | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Iroquois S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Quezon | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Absatootly | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cozzy Spring | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Picco Uno | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Inheritance | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Wonderment | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Ticonderoga S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fifty Five | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ancient Secret | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Barrel of Dreams | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tizzelle | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flipcup | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Table for Six | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Frosty Margarita | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Feeling Bossy | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Broken Border | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Empire Classic H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Twisted Tom | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Governor Malibu | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hit It Once More | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Papa Shot | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Royal Posse | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Can You Diggit | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Control Group | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Becker’s Galaxy | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Testosterstone | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Sleepy Hollow S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Stoney Bennett | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Battle Station | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Gemmy | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Inalienable Rights | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | We Should Talk | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Pete | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbonfuhrme | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lover’s Leap | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Evaluator | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Analyze the Odds | 10.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Engineers Report | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | D’yer Mak’er | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Macho Miah | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blame the Thief | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Discretionary Marq | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jo’s Bold Cat | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Caretaker | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Psychic Energy | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | E J’s Legacy | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | River Knight | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Hudson H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Weekend Hideaway | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bust Another | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gold for the King | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sudden Surprise | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pat On the Back | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | T Loves a Fight | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Candid Desire | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Eye Luv Lulu | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Celtic Chaos | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ostrolenka | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Mohawk S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nevisian Sky | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Offering Plan | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | All Is Number | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Black Tide | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Converge | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cloontia | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rapt | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Empire Distaff H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Verdant Pastures | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pride of Saratoga | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Hayne No Gayne | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Might Be | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Five Star Rampage | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bonita Bianca | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jc’s Shooting Star | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jcs American Dream | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Literata | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cosmoiselle | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dream Passage | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Piquet | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lulu’s Pom Pom | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Spa Treatment | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Way Smart | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tizza Temper | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Smart and Sassy | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amanda Lane | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cirque | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.