October 20, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dr Bolt | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dundalk | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | All Fired Up | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magician’s Bags | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eastern Bay | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Super Buddy | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Takedown Charlie | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Industry Leader | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hurler | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Argot | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Drive At Nite | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gavin Streetsense | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sky Chaparral | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tequesta Storm | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Heat | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Tinto Mesa | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shan Dian Kia | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Unusual Fleet | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 9 | Matador | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Forever Bernardini | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Here’s Johnny | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prime Time Man | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Heiko | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Cruise More | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dream Man | 3.50 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Here’s to Mike | 15.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vision of Green | 10.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 12 | Daniel Le Deux | 8.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Markakis | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Frasero (ARG) | 15.00 | 15.8 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Miss Saffron | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Enchanted Ghost | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Capstone Lady | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Velocita Brillante | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Simonela | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Splendor Gal | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 6A | 6 | Number the Stars | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Given Achance | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Brushing | 4.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 13A | 13 | Steamy Hot | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Carolina Ice | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Donna’s Delight | 8.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Enchantabull | 20.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Censure | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oyster Soup | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Love You Much | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ice On the Severn | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Smart Royal T | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Motown Rhythm | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Piercinator | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Run From the Nun | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gotham Boy | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Staynsidethecircle | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Totaled the Benz | 3.50 | 10.8 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 15 | Fort Riley | 10.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 10 | J B’s Big Red | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wilko’s Goldeneye | 20.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Party Regent | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Barcraft | 20.00 | 15.3 | 29-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Janine Melnitz | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | De Marquee | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sassy Little Cat | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Saint Mamie | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kacy Lauren | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Emelina | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Intractable | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yes Mz Adah | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Shirleys Curls | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cara’s Nay Nay | 8.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Madame Curie | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Abracadabra | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Ultimate Avary | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Better Way | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Six Tonsafun | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Have Hope | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thissongisaboutyou | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Anna’s Bandit | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sazerac Girl | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clem Gem | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 10 | Keep Talking | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Top Hat City | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seize | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Dominic’s Smile | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Tam Tam Attack | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Final Encore | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bo Vuk | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Enasoit | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Harlan’s Quest | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Versed | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tempt Me Twice | 8.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miners Quest | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Pure Spring | 50.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Silent Tale | 12.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Ring Collector | 20.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wildcatpleasures | 20.00 | 15.5 | 29-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Clouded Judgement | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Arrivederci | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Majestic Voyage | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Punch Your Brother | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Highland Bowl | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | It Is Time | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Nautical Nature | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Gallows Bay | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Time Flies By | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Jag | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Colonel Patsy | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Paul the Waiter | 8.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | French’s Quest | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Riteamontofmschief | 5.00 | 13 | 25-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Mojo’s Louie Cat | 15.00 | 14 | 26-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just Warmin’ Up | 15.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.