October 20, 2017 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stronger Than Ever | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Julia’s Kitty | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Harbor Lights | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Glamorized | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Volodina | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lesia Jane | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Blue Ridge Girl | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spearette | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nautia | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mygraciegirl | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kickin Grass | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Greeley and Ariana | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Norwegian Lady | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Candy Naples | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Gal | 3.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | North Captiva | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gerlinde | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Marmee | 8.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Perfect Prize | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Kitty Express | 15.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Abbaa | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | John’s Luck | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Reigning Catfish | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fourth of July | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Cowboy | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Manhattan Mischief | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sharp Art | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ultra Arumba (BRZ) | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Basheba | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Teacup Twirl | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Dixie Lover | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | La Majestique | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Heavenly Daze | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Capriasca | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Pocketfullofgreen | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Wishihada | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Like a Haint | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | District Attorney | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brilliant Belle | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Me Lucky You | 30.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Thirty Eight Plus | 30.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Quail Hunt | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forgotten Coast | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Non Regrette | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Up the Ante | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Violent Storm | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Novus | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Kentucky Kitten | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Honey Dont | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Neverquitdreaming | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dixieland Rags | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Beckham’s Joy | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jacktastic | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Front Door | 10.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Solar Warming | 20.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Middle of Nowhere | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rocket Warrior | 15.00 | 15.3 | 29-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Huntin Buddy | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Total Cooperation | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Commandeering | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Warrior’s Dream | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Big Dollar Bill | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ragtime Rebel | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fireball Shot | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Mono | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Triple Chelsea | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Snack Shack | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Watch This Cat | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sweet Angel Roan | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clairenation | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Exaggerated | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Seeknthegiantpearl | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Marquee Miss | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Marquee Cal Gal | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Miss Gossip (IRE) | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Fair Point | 3.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Cousin Claire | 30.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Melaleuca | 8.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dreamin | 20.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chanteline | 12.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ring Knocker | 10.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Battle Colors | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cedartown | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gain Ground | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blueridge Traveler | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Mojo | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Win With Pride | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tarpon Bay Road | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Leading Cause | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cass in Stone | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Skinflint | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Pin Oak Valley View S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Youngest Daughter | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Let It Ride Mom | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Journey Home | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Defiant Honor | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chastise | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lovely Bernadette | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Sully’s Dream | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fault | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sweeping Paddy | 8.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 11 | Fizzy Friday (GB) | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dolce Lili | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I’m Betty G | 8.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Dancing Breeze (IRE) | 30.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 13 | Ladies’ Privilege | 15.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princess La Quinta | 20.00 | 14.8 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Linburgh’s Kitten | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Secret Speed | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Grateful Cause | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Travelling Midas | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Demolition | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Rigged | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Karen’s Cove | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Nottoway | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Navy Armed Guard | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Pryor | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Oh My Kitten | 6.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Best of Greeley | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Blaze a Trail | 15.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.