October 19, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Honor Maker | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jill Madden | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sassy Ashley | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zanab | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forthe Lovof Patty | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Pattin for a Dance | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | It’s Not So Easy | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Swiss Skimmer | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Public House | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Backintheacademy | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Swissarella | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Desert Madam | 1.20 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Sheswildnfree | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wishful Winking | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | D’ Platinum | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yaffe | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carrie | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lookinforadanger | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Old Fashion | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quinn Murphy | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sapodilla | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bragging Rights | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bless the Cause | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Miss Pretty | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Funny Bean | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Callie Mesa | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Streak of Luck | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Spacerika | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Put It On Ice | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fabian’s Secret | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Fengari | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scrambled | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 10 | Liberal Lunacy | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Navajo Dreamer (IRE) | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Good Guy Bad Guy | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eskimo Roses | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Rockaway (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Bartlett Hall | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Showstone | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Erotic | 6.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Captain N. Barron | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Danny O | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Knight Disruptor | 8.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | El Asesino | 12.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Avicii | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cuyathy | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Just a Little Hope | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bernina Star | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Run for Retts | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dis Smart Cat | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Demigoddess | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Winemenow | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lethal Legacy | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Paschalitsa | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bold At Night | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Secret Thorn | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aflewency | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | How About Zero | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hawk’s Journey | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Warrenscrystalized | 4.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Mi Haina | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Golden Atlantic | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hawk’s Eyes (BRZ) | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stoneys Mr Cruiser | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Royal F J | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ajac | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nagys Piggy Bank | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Madelyn’s Wild Max | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brave Julian | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cupid’s Beau | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Warren’s Cole | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.