October 19, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Diamonds and Oil | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Zabyew | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Queen of the Walk | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Town Surprise | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little G | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Net’s All N | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Moronette | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beauley | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Favorite Promise | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wild Mimosas | 30.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Electric Kiss | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Emma’s Gift | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Rockin’rouxs Best | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | So Silly Lillie | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Gussie’s Girl | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tunica Girl | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Elegant Idea | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rebel Woman | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kylie’s Cutie | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Little Lola | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Katie B’s Wager | 3.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ide Be Silly | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Golden Argument | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bottle Let Me Down | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | He’s an Honest Man | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Valid Argument | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Clever Racer | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Data | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Total Frat Boy | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rocky Toga | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Atomic Element | 4.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bad Investment | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fix D Fence | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Dixie Jewel | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Costa Sugar | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jayrew | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Friend | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spirit of Acadiana | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Take Over | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Vitt Bitt | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Tiz a Party | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Go Sal Go | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blushing Reality | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Changeforathousand | 8.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Intimidators Girl | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Blazing Sensation | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Goodrockingirl | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | K K’s Princess | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Frenzy | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Racin Prayer | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shes All Ours | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Queen’s All Mine | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Lucky Break | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wewoka | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | D’wild Irish Rose | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Skedaddle Babe | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Diamond Dash | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ide Be Doc Adams | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Meraki | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cha Cha Charlie | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sky Stanza | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Zenucci | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Lucky Lydgate | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Jonas G. | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Our Smitty | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Run My Pal | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Run With Class | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tickatee Tickatay | 4.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shinguard | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Heavy On Themister | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crush | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Desert Harbor | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | So Sorry Ruston | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Randy Paul | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Great Value | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hook | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sierra Victor | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Buddy Chuck | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Valse | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Harbor Jedi | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Princess Samurai | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crown and Seven | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bling It On Baby | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Capelli | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vivacious V. V. | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Lorretta | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Unreal Baby | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Causation | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bourbon N Boots | 4.50 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | My Gal Layla | 10.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Breezy Song | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ruby Red Slippers | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flying Clever | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Pal Viv | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cherry Laurel | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ide Better Move | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nola’s Fireball | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Best of Tess | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Better in Boots | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mona’s Dream | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Angelic Kriss | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Gibby’s Spot | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Yes Gorgeous | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Waitin On the Gold | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Valina | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | N. D. Free | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Diablo Gris | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Run By | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cudda Binn a Tizzy | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shiplap | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Testing One Two | 3.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Out Late | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.