Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 19, 2017

October 19, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Diamonds and Oil 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Sweet Zabyew 3.50 2.5 5-1
1A 7 Queen of the Walk 2.00 4.3 8-1 Scr
3 3 Town Surprise 20.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Little G 30.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Net’s All N 3.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Miss Moronette 8.00 6 11-1
2 2 Beauley 15.00 7 13-1
9 9 Favorite Promise 4.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Wild Mimosas 30.00 9.3 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Electric Kiss 5.00 1.8 3-1
12 12 Emma’s Gift 10.00 3.3 6-1 Scr
3 3 Rockin’rouxs Best 15.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 So Silly Lillie 12.00 5 9-1 Scr
8 8 Gussie’s Girl 8.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Tunica Girl 4.00 6 11-1
5 5 Elegant Idea 3.50 7.3 14-1
6 6 Rebel Woman 30.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Kylie’s Cutie 6.00 8.8 17-1
7 7 Little Lola 30.00 9 17-1
1 1 Katie B’s Wager 3.00 9.3 17-1
9 9 Ide Be Silly 15.00 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Golden Argument 1.80 2.5 5-1
11 11 Bottle Let Me Down 15.00 2.8 5-1 Scr
6 6 He’s an Honest Man 20.00 4 8-1
9 9 Valid Argument 3.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Clever Racer 12.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Golden Data 12.00 6 11-1
2 2 Total Frat Boy 12.00 7 13-1
10 10 Rocky Toga 8.00 7 13-1
4 4 Atomic Element 4.50 8.3 16-1
3 3 Bad Investment 15.00 9 17-1
8 8 Fix D Fence 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
10 10 Dixie Jewel 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Costa Sugar 4.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Jayrew 3.50 3.5 7-1
9 9 Lady Friend 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Spirit of Acadiana 8.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Take Over 10.00 6 11-1
12 12 Vitt Bitt 8.00 7 13-1 Scr
11 11 Tiz a Party 4.00 8.3 16-1 Scr
7 7 Go Sal Go 20.00 9 17-1
1 1 Blushing Reality 12.00 9.3 17-1
2 2 Changeforathousand 8.00 10.5 20-1
4 4 Intimidators Girl 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Blazing Sensation 6.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Goodrockingirl 3.00 2 4-1
3 3 K K’s Princess 12.00 4.8 9-1
12 12 Frenzy 10.00 5.3 10-1 Scr
9 9 Racin Prayer 20.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Shes All Ours 8.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Queen’s All Mine 3.50 6.8 13-1
2 2 Our Lucky Break 2.50 7 13-1
5 5 Wewoka 15.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 D’wild Irish Rose 20.00 10 19-1 Scr
8 8 Skedaddle Babe 15.00 10.5 20-1
6 6 Diamond Dash 20.00 11.8 22-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Ide Be Doc Adams 6.00 2 4-1
4 4 Meraki 6.00 3 6-1
5 5 Cha Cha Charlie 15.00 5 9-1
7 7 Sky Stanza 10.00 5.8 11-1
12 12 Zenucci 20.00 6 11-1 Scr
11 11 Lucky Lydgate 4.00 6.8 13-1 Scr
2 2 Jonas G. 12.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Our Smitty 3.50 7 13-1
3 3 Run My Pal 10.00 7 13-1
8 8 Run With Class 5.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Tickatee Tickatay 4.00 9.5 18-1
1 1 Shinguard 15.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Heavy On Themister 2.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Crush 15.00 3 6-1
8 8 Desert Harbor 15.00 4 8-1
6 6 So Sorry Ruston 4.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Randy Paul 12.00 5 9-1
9 9 Great Value 10.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Hook 3.50 6.5 12-1
10 10 Sierra Victor 12.00 7 13-1
5 5 My Buddy Chuck 8.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Valse 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Harbor Jedi 6.00 1.8 3-1
10 10 Princess Samurai 12.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Crown and Seven 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Bling It On Baby 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Bella Capelli 3.50 5 9-1
4 4 Vivacious V. V. 10.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Lucky Lorretta 3.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Unreal Baby 20.00 8 15-1
3 3 Causation 10.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 Bourbon N Boots 4.50 9 17-1
11 11 My Gal Layla 10.00 9.3 17-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Breezy Song 4.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Ruby Red Slippers 10.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Flying Clever 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 My Pal Viv 12.00 5 9-1
8 8 Cherry Laurel 15.00 6 11-1
3 3 Ide Better Move 3.50 6.5 12-1
6 6 Nola’s Fireball 12.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Best of Tess 3.00 7 13-1
9 9 Better in Boots 20.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Mona’s Dream 12.00 9.3 17-1
11 11 Angelic Kriss 15.00 10.8 20-1 Scr
12 12 Gibby’s Spot 30.00 12 23-1 Scr

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Yes Gorgeous 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Waitin On the Gold 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 6 Valina 15.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 N. D. Free 8.00 4 8-1
6 5 Diablo Gris 12.00 5.5 10-1
9 7 Run By 15.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Cudda Binn a Tizzy 3.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Shiplap 12.00 6.8 13-1 Scr
10 8 Testing One Two 3.50 7.5 14-1
4 4 Out Late 20.00 10 19-1 Scr

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.