October 19, 2017 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Showreel (GB) | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Raise the Rithm | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Revolving Storm | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Holiday Magician | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Southern Christmas | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Rodeo | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Makeyourselfathome | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mila Jane | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flying Phillip’s | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dreaming Outloud | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Drybrook Partytime | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She’s No Joke | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cuckoo Forcononuts | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Harlington’s Angel | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Porte Cochere | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flirtin N Flashin | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Candy Express | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Maxine | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zipline | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Modela | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Honor N Grace | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Terrificville | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Myrtle | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Paulina | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Italian Grace | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Bay of Cats | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | The Bay Express | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Noisy Ripples | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Nekia | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Abide by Me | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | To the Stars | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dreaming of Frank | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mid Ocean | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Man Dan | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Think He’s Gone | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Seventysevenwilow | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Crea Can Do | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mr. Beans | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Strike ‘n Spare | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Die Hard Di | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coach Adams | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Diamond Junior | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rumfire | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Demerara | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Brahms | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hot N Spicy Love | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Exile | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | The Money Train | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Showbiz | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Doodle Hopper | 1.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lifelong Dreamer | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Funny Questions | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Crusader | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Poppy’s Two Step | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Trophy | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Octavia Hill | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Thirsty | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scorpion Aly | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chapel Gap | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | E Lizzy | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rockaroundthedock | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Don’s Escapade | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet City Woman | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.