October 19, 2017 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hit the Diamond | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7A | 5 | Unlockthepotential | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Factorial | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 8A | 6 | Wage Acceleration | 1.60 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Stun | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Repetitious | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Amazing | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stan the Man | 3.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Go Big Or Go Home | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rimanisempreforte | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gold Lace | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dynamic War | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vasilika | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Questeq | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Carry Your Heels | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cha Cha Heels | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Palladian Bridge | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Miss Freeze | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Nothingbutasmile | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Frost Wise | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Three Eighty Eight | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Tainted Angel | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Gobi | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Griff’s Ghost | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Notjudginjustsayin | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Herecomesyourman | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Electro | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Channel Won | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rule Yourself | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Disruptor | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Fuel the Bern | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smarter | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lone Traveler | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Red Hot Salsa | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Away | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ready for Summer | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vicki’s Dancer | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lamontagne | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Making Havoc | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Billyscrystalball | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Startwithsilver | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Quick | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nisha | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | New York Hero | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Runnin for Dace | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. President | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dark Ops | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Odin’s Steed | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mango M | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Accolade | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Scrutinize | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 10 | Uncle Sigh | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Dagger | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Andalusite | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tiznoble | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Iron Power | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Marriage Fever | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Shalako | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Damage Control | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Prophet’s Cat | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Birchwood Road | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Aire Bueno (CHI) | 6.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Inventor’s Gate | 50.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Judy’s Chance | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Portmagee | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kelsocait | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Who’s the Lady | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | All in Fun | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Discreet Senorita | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Moon River (IRE) | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Rumble Doll | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Giant Rocks | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | O Captainmycaptain | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Big Auk | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Barefoot Angel | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | What a Culture | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Pio’s Posse | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Clonedsimmard | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiffany’s Vision | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | The I Man | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pom Freight | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.