October 18, 2017 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Pierre Mince | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Holtz | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ring of Heat | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alert Green | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Cavallo d’Oro | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Scarlet Forester | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Barnesland | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Detroit Steel (IRE) | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Maximum Entropy | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sayyestoxcelence | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cosmic Ruby | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Pal Katherine | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Apache Gal | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | View the Star | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Abogada | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zdenka | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Delamar | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grace and Dignity | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Monsoon Rain | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Safe to Say | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sly Roxy | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bonjour | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Cummings Road | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Spin the King | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ninth Symphony | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Creeping Barrage | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Undercover Cat | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Super Colerosa | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dan the Tin Man | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crushin It | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dash of Dazzle | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Spanish River | 20.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | World of Prospects | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bad Nana | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Seewill | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Redwin Romp | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Evil Woman | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Rosebud | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mary Sue Weloveyou | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Mew | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bid’s Kid | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sheztenthehardway | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rock n’ Candy | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Signature Data | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle B | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Daylight Breeze | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hollywood Critic | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chiricahua Signal | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nupogodi | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Snowy Legacy | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fortis | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Battleofburlington | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | You Know Jack | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lunar Light | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Speedy Fox | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Holy McNasty | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vegas Strip | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | I Am Who I Am | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Totally Unexpected | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mysterion | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Hangtime | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Candy Ride Cat | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 15 | 14 | Canada Wise Don | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Subliminal | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Awesome At Last | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gordie Mac | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wardo | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Cry in the Wild | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fiery Bear | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Silken Thomas | 15.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Marcavellys Dream | 20.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Conn’s Reward | 20.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.