October 18, 2017 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ty Man | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tsunami | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kings Wish | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Encrypt | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Santa Americana | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Levanto (ARG) | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Justanotherbird | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Headliner | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Candy Ruby | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Wings | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jasizzle | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wabel | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Control Stake | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Asset | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Speightsong | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dark Arden | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aquamarine | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Petrov | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Major Munnings | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Excitations | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shadow Tracer | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kantastic | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Card Club | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ghost Jumper | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Drinks On Me | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Dark Secret | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Madaket Morning | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Truckstop Diamond | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Simply Fit | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Kyniska | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lily’s Secret | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stetson Gold | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Cleopatra | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | White Gold | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Merry Memories | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Eye On Harper | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Audacious Angel | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Proud Dixie | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Controversy | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pretty Greeley | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8A | 8 | Steel Shot | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mississippi | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Private Eye | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | End of Spirits | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bow Ready | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Sahib | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | San Juan Diego | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Applewood | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | Zing Zang | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Single Gem | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Violent Strike | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 7 | Sensitive | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Valentine Wish | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Light Up Our World (IRE) | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 15 | 9 | Quebec | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brooks House | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Moonlight Sky | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Now Power | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | China Grove | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Bonnie Arch | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fizzy Friday (GB) | 6.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 8 | Browse | 6.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Deedeezee | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Athena’s Aegis (IRE) | 20.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | Scr |
| 16 | 16 | You Cheated | 20.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Conquest Bandido | 20.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Pour Girl | 20.00 | 15.5 | 29-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tiznow R J | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Glitnir | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pat’s Shoes | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bold Shot | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Belvin | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Gabriel’s Cat | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Candy My Boy | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jack Tripp | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Academy Bay | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.