October 18, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tapster | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Our Lucky Penney | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Black Justice | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | On Time | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Doubleshotofcrown | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mob Posse | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Risky Steps | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Run Henry | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Martin de Tours | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bubba Ray’s Sun | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bookout | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Don’t Rush Me | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Andy Man | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Big Joe | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Mordecai Man | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pirates Parlay | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Campus Leader | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jonny’s Emerald | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quick Escape | 6.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Osidy Cat | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | M. B.’s Vow | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Proud Mission | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Liba | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Zonly | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Branchwater | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Guretta | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Best Guess | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ourgoldshalaylee | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Skeeter | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bayou Queen | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dynaskra | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rulers Honour | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zarby’s Derby Day | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cody Cody | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Pioneering Native | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Forty Two | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Couche Couche | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Planet | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Rascal | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Keystones Strike | 3.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stanton C | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Mr. Shad | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kowboy Posse | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Midnight Candle | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coach Avery | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lookin At Clement | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Machinist | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Honor My Speed | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Flashy Image | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kid Correa | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Whatdatpay Ray | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Lethal Move | 12.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Doolin | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Big Boy Dave Rex | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Oh Dear Lord | 1.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wildcat Springs | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Haloactif | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Toomuch | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Sid N Say | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bevos Winch | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Southern Gold | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Debbyz Wingz | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Data Girl | 4.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Wave Goodbye | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Lefthoofrightleft | 10.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Seveneightnine | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 9 | Gentleman Len | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Back in Business | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Risky Forest | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Friends With Money | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Retrofit | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Sparky Sparkles | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bitsy’s Half | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Forerun | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | No Guts No Glory | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Old Conch | 3.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Recreational Use | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mischievous Bull | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flying Honeypot | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Fashioned | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Sailorman | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Harbor Pilot | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Luke’s Cajun Star | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Macandales | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mocito Rojo | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Lilly | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Celtic Lass | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Double Down Britt | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Minister of War | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | Southern Wind | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shez for You | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Hope | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ide Stang You | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fiddlers Dance | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Rowdy Richard | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Texas Fire | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Northwoods Cat | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wandernintheforest | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Daddy | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | L D N Blue Cascade | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Darylslittleengine | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Unitas | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Where’s Cain | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.