October 16, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Officer Buns | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 5 | Mineralistic | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 4 | Southern Peach | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aussie Prayer | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Blavastki | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 3 | Lulu Island | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Madame Curie | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Rare Integrity | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Passing Pfast | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Away to Me | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Tranzip | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Not Above Love | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wildcat Rising | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dear Charlotte | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rosetta Red | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Proudly | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Do You Like That | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quickasaflash | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 12 | Cape Force | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Slippery Slope | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cent Comm | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 7 | Just the Facts | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pik Em | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 8 | Chocomount | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Absolute Pinnacle | 3.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 16 | 16 | Thoristic | 3.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Papa Pablo | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Radial Flyer | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | King of the Jungle | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | My Own Lane | 50.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Buddly Buddy | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Aluminum Striker | 4.50 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Dream of Peace | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beltway Bob | 20.00 | 14.4 | 27-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Majestic Pic | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Star Too | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Sweet Sheba | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Friesan Gal | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She Be Sassy | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Marysienka | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Miss Jojo | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just B Quick | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ms. Picadilly | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Glory Unbound | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Street Miz | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Andrasta | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Zenbennie | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 2 | Daniella | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sheet Lightning | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cross Roads | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Aine | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Voices Only | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lilly Bay | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Riley’s Choice | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Tanya’s Gem | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 10 | Nawlins Kitty | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fuerza | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 16 | 16 | If You Say So | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 15 | Yes Mz Adah | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Greek Mythology | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Anissa | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Pamzine | 4.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Raining Lemons | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Quick Witted | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Rock Sapphire (KOR) | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Driver’s Girl | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Head Games | 6.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Claravoyant | 3.00 | 13.9 | 26-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 9 | Sleepless | 50.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wrightwood | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pappa Portmore | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rare Eagle | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prime Number | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stonescape | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blame Me | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hush Hush Henny | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 4 | Risky Guy | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alpha Slew | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Billy the Bull | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 2 | Lawyer Dave | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eternal Bull | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 3 | Puturseatbelton | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bluegrass Ball | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Merry’s Honor | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Happy Indeed | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Racy (GB) | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Capablanca | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 10 | Uncle Leo | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Esposito | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fear | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 6 | Amelia’s Wild Ride | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Oak Bluffs | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 7 | My Enigma | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Call Wil | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Johnny U | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mach My Day | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Francis Freud | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jarvis Steel | 4.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Nice Tune | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Mr. October | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | My Lady Munnings | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Dixie Rose | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Airlie’s Diamond | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crazy Bernice | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kloonie | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 8 | Wedgewood Blue | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tac Up | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Boss Lady Platinum | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Montrico | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Capture the Sun | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.