October 15, 2017 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Tethra’s Magic |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Marcherdowntheally |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Marsantropist |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Bearsatlanticmist |
2.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Boathouse View |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Lady Brie |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
Scr |
5 |
4 |
Green Freedom |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Greek Justice |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Gun Lobby |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Agosta |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Speedy It’s Me |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Releasethe Glacken |
2.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Lailas Princess |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Sheegweeha |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Crimson Ring |
3.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Delaste Dance |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Slovenia |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Court Verdict |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Where’s Anthony |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Smooth Talk |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Berkeley Boy |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Almighty Bear |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Pool Playa |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Is Bourbon |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Argybargy |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Foxy B |
12.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Leo’s Gold |
15.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Classic Daniel |
12.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Rockcitymoonshine |
15.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Giada Vegas |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Princess Royal |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Snippy |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Broken Meadow |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Dyna’s Mischief |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Primordia |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Alice’s War |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
You’re Mine |
4.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Peche Mobilee |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Crack That Whip |
15.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Maxixe |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Misguided Passion |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Eesti Star |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Worlds Your Oyster |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Sweet Silent Soul |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Lady With Class |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Forever Bold |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Light It Up |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Petite Amie |
15.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Nearctic S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Cotai Glory (GB) |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Conquest Tsunami |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Yorkton |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Ikerrin Road (IRE) |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Field of Courage |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Dowse’s Beach |
2.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Circle of Friends |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
White Flag |
3.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Ontario Derby
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Tiz a Slam |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Undulated |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Senior Investment |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Guy Caballero |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Grizzel (IRE) |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Colonel Samsen |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Gorgeous Kitten |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Holy Helena |
2.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Cool Catomine |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Tulsa |
12.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
Scr |
8 |
7 |
Royal Katy |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Forestella |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Matching Vows |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Heart Rush |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Dilly Dally Darby |
3.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Adopted Family |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Lisa’s Escarpment |
3.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
I Got Silent Ego |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Unclaimedtreasure |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – E. P. Taylor S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Nezwaah (GB) |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Quidura (GB) |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Kitten’s Roar |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Rain Goddess (IRE) |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Blond Me (IRE) |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Puca |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Sassy Little Lila |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Rainha Da Bateria |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Fourstar Crook |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Pattison Canadian International S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Idaho (IRE) |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Flamboyant (FR) |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Johnny Bear |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Chemical Charge (IRE) |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Erupt (IRE) |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Bullards Alley |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Enterprising |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Oscar Nominated |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Messi (GER) |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Postulation |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
11 |
10 |
Cherokee Knight |
10.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Butch Cassidy |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Teiaiagon |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Ethanator |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Call Me Gizmo |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Sevencomingout |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Discreet Dan |
3.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Rare Appeal |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
14 |
13 |
Workingonmyspanish |
20.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Third Man In |
4.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Rasta Man |
20.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
|
12 |
11 |
Native Prancer |
15.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
D’s Double Eagle |
20.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
13 |
12 |
Jimbo Five |
15.00 |
12.5 |
24-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
12 |
10 |
Remembering Mickey |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Wilshire Star |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Incredible Dee |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Forest Castle |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Be the Change |
4.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
14 |
12 |
Gasconade |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Bangor Ridge |
30.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
|
13 |
11 |
Conquest Swagman |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
|
15 |
15 |
Victory L. |
15.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Cross Border |
10.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Tinker Ring |
20.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
9 |
7 |
Splash With Me |
20.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
I Deliver |
15.00 |
12.8 |
24-1 |
Scr |
11 |
9 |
Spanish Express |
20.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
|
10 |
8 |
War Factory |
20.00 |
14.8 |
28-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.