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Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 15, 2017

October 15, 2017 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
1 1 Tethra’s Magic 4.00 1.5 3-1
8 7 Marcherdowntheally 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 3 Marsantropist 3.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Bearsatlanticmist 2.00 4 8-1
6 5 Boathouse View 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Lady Brie 15.00 6.3 12-1 Scr
5 4 Green Freedom 10.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Greek Justice 8.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
2 2 Gun Lobby 10.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Agosta 4.00 3 6-1
7 7 Speedy It’s Me 20.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Releasethe Glacken 2.50 4.8 9-1
8 8 Lailas Princess 6.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Sheegweeha 10.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Crimson Ring 3.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Delaste Dance 8.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Slovenia 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Court Verdict 8.00 1.8 3-1
10 10 Where’s Anthony 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 Smooth Talk 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Berkeley Boy 10.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Almighty Bear 6.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Pool Playa 20.00 6 11-1
12 12 Is Bourbon 8.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Argybargy 20.00 8 15-1
6 6 Foxy B 12.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Leo’s Gold 15.00 9.8 18-1
2 2 Classic Daniel 12.00 10.3 19-1
11 11 Rockcitymoonshine 15.00 11.5 22-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Giada Vegas 2.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Princess Royal 10.00 2.3 4-1
9 8 Snippy 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Broken Meadow 15.00 5 9-1
8 8 Dyna’s Mischief 6.00 5.5 10-1 Scr
7 7 Primordia 20.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Alice’s War 10.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 You’re Mine 4.00 6.8 13-1
10 9 Peche Mobilee 20.00 9 17-1
2 2 Crack That Whip 15.00 9.3 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Maxixe 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Misguided Passion 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Eesti Star 3.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Worlds Your Oyster 12.00 4 8-1
9 9 Sweet Silent Soul 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Lady With Class 6.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Forever Bold 10.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Light It Up 20.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Petite Amie 15.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Nearctic S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 7 Cotai Glory (GB) 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Conquest Tsunami 8.00 2 4-1
6 6 Yorkton 15.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Ikerrin Road (IRE) 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Field of Courage 15.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Dowse’s Beach 2.50 5 9-1
3 3 Circle of Friends 20.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 White Flag 3.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Ontario Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Tiz a Slam 6.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Undulated 15.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Senior Investment 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Guy Caballero 20.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Grizzel (IRE) 3.00 5 9-1
7 7 Colonel Samsen 20.00 6 11-1
1 1 Gorgeous Kitten 8.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Holy Helena 2.00 7 13-1
9 9 Cool Catomine 12.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Tulsa 12.00 2.3 4-1 Scr
8 7 Royal Katy 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Forestella 12.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Matching Vows 8.00 4.3 8-1
9 8 Heart Rush 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 Dilly Dally Darby 3.50 6 11-1
10 9 Adopted Family 20.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Lisa’s Escarpment 3.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 I Got Silent Ego 20.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 Unclaimedtreasure 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – E. P. Taylor S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 5 Nezwaah (GB) 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Quidura (GB) 3.00 2 4-1
1 1 Kitten’s Roar 12.00 2.8 5-1
7 6 Rain Goddess (IRE) 4.50 3 6-1
8 7 Blond Me (IRE) 6.00 4 8-1
9 9 Puca 20.00 4.5 9-1 Scr
5 5 Sassy Little Lila 12.00 4.8 9-1 Scr
4 4 Rainha Da Bateria 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Fourstar Crook 8.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Pattison Canadian International S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
4 4 Idaho (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Flamboyant (FR) 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Johnny Bear 12.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 Chemical Charge (IRE) 5.00 3 6-1
9 9 Erupt (IRE) 3.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Bullards Alley 20.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Enterprising 20.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Oscar Nominated 8.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Messi (GER) 8.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Postulation 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
11 10 Cherokee Knight 10.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Butch Cassidy 12.00 3.3 6-1 Scr
7 6 Teiaiagon 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Ethanator 10.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Call Me Gizmo 20.00 5.8 11-1
10 9 Sevencomingout 6.00 6 11-1
1 1 Discreet Dan 3.00 6.3 12-1
6 5 Rare Appeal 20.00 8 15-1
14 13 Workingonmyspanish 20.00 9.3 17-1
4 4 Third Man In 4.00 10.3 19-1
9 8 Rasta Man 20.00 10.8 20-1
12 11 Native Prancer 15.00 11.3 21-1
8 7 D’s Double Eagle 20.00 11.3 21-1
13 12 Jimbo Five 15.00 12.5 24-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
12 10 Remembering Mickey 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 4 Wilshire Star 15.00 3.3 6-1
8 6 Incredible Dee 3.00 3.3 6-1
4 3 Forest Castle 10.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Be the Change 4.00 5 9-1
14 12 Gasconade 8.00 6.3 12-1
2 1 Bangor Ridge 30.00 7.5 14-1
13 11 Conquest Swagman 15.00 7.8 15-1
15 15 Victory L. 15.00 8.8 17-1 Scr
7 7 Cross Border 10.00 10.3 19-1 Scr
3 2 Tinker Ring 20.00 10.3 19-1
9 7 Splash With Me 20.00 11.3 21-1
1 1 I Deliver 15.00 12.8 24-1 Scr
11 9 Spanish Express 20.00 13 25-1
10 8 War Factory 20.00 14.8 28-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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