October 15, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | My Italian Babbo | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Unapologetic | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Giant Influence | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Camino Del Paraiso | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brimstoned | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Play Hard to Get | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prince of Arabia | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oscar Dominguez (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Editore (BRZ) | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tiki Bar Logic | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dadlani | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Eye of the River | 50.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Curlina Curlina | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Colonel Peggy Sue | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dedication | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Princess Nicole | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Champagne Elegance | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yalla | 4.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Summer’s Indy | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ms Bad Behavior | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rancor | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Line Drive | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Proud Heroine | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mapit | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gia Lula | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wish You Were Mine | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pacific Coast Hwy | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Alaskan Son (IRE) | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rainbow Squall | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Van Cortlandt | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Uber Star | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Run Like Rhett | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red King | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gabo’s Macondo | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Irish Goodbye | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pampers n’ Boots | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Speakeasy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Show It N Moe It | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mourinho | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Candy Crew | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Here Is Happy | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beautiful Shot | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Soul of Discretion | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Skelton Pass | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hay Dude (GB) | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Banze No Oeste (BRZ) | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | My Man Chuckles | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Guggenheim | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Il Segreto (FR) | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unreal Deal | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Special Season (GB) | 12.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Eight Spokes | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Moving | 50.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sir Matador | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Out of Patience | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pray Hard | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Templar | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One More Roll | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cherokee Dynasty | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | It’s Just Bob | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fast Pass | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Oh Newman | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Willing to Travel | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prohibition | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Our Nation | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jensen | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Changing Karma | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Broadway Nika | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roman Tizzy | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | South Texas Lingo | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | David R. | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pantsonfire (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Danuska’s My Girl | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Morning Dance | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Malibu Model | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No Cats Allowed | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Achira | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Night Bloom | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Glory and Power | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Boldest Vow | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | Queen of Troy | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Sasini (GB) | 4.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Eternal Endeavour (GB) | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Took the High Road | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Quality Girl | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.