October 15, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Janine Melnitz | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Saint Mamie | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Kacy Lauren | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 5 | Tapa Liath | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cara’s Nay Nay | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Lenape Rim | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Seeing’n’believing | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8A | 8 | Loya | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 4A | 2 | I Dream of Lois | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Torcida | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Participate | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Ultimate Avary | 10.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Queen to Checkmate | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Menorah Lora | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | Hard Rockin Blues | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grecian Dancer | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Soft Landing | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | All About Bleu | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Lulu’s On the Move | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Buddha Kai | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Uknowfriends | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Steel Bay | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Kitty’s Right | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Misschief Maas | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bubbly | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Next Street | 6.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 5 | Mathildestrevenue | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 7 | Socially Driven | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 6 | Baltimore Street | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lost Sonnet | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | No Great Shakes | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Kadie’shorseplay | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pea Patch Point | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Faith ‘n Works | 30.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Boss Babe | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Forever | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Star Swept | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | Rumor Ridge | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Caught Dream’n | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | In Jail | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Hot Cha | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Firth | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 2 | Pink Princess | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 5 | Burbank Road | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mast Cove | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Summer Frock | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Little Lies | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 3 | No More Excuses | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 1 | Lemon Lover | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Six Tonsafun | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 14A | 14 | Trish’s Wish | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Un Po Di Vino | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Hug a Tree | 8.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | So Royal | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 5A | 5 | Jersey Life | 10.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 4 | Desert Princess | 15.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Spartianos | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 4 | Scout’s Honor | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Flight Crew | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joseph | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 5 | Mr. Benz | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Professor Palmer | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Black Jet | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Derek’s Smile | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American Progress | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Cort’n Asong | 5.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 2 | Iredell | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Curves That Kick | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 6 | Kabang | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Texas Zip | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Enough Is Enough | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Douglas Road | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Tale of Mist | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | Lipman | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Iggy Loco | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | What Power | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chateau de Vizille | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 3 | How’s Your Sugar | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Spring About | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Norco | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 4 | Broad Reach | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cordmaker | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Can’t Say No | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hidden Funds | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Ridge Scout | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Take Warning | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Black Jacket | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Little Jimmy B | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Great Bend | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Love for Scarlett | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sunrisebernsteini | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Karma | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Victory Rally | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Holiday Prayer | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Holiday Hopes | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Eskimo Princess | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Goldmakesmesmile | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Brown Paper | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 6 | Hot Friesia | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lilly Bay | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Trading Kisses | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.