October 15, 2017 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ostentation | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whateverybodywants | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arch Revenge | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boxer Boy | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Private Time | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sanavi | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Snoose Sasa | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Starstruck Kitten | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tolstoy | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Insurgent | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pressing Luck | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shankly Heights | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Army Grey | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Red Again | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Forge Ahead Franki | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Paden | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whyruawesome | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Catanova | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Thought | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tashreeh | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aurora’s Kid | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shining Copper | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Special Ops | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Far Right | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Marengo Road | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Net Gain | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Edge of Reality | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bandar | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cooptado (ARG) | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | New York Boy | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Union Bowman | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Malibu Blues | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Whiskey Shiner | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thamaan | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kelamonster | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Academy Bay | 3.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Oriental Crown | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Swarm | 3.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Takin the Sloroad | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 11 | Star Dog | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Northeast Bound | 8.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Street Factor | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Fairway Lane | 20.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Limonte | 6.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spinning for Home | 10.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pastime | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Taken | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Vicki | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Conquest Sarahstar | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tizahandful | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kaylen’s Revenge | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brielle’s Appeal | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mongolian Shopper | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | First Embrace | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dulce Ride | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Persephone’s Dawn | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Murika | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Galilianco | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gianna’s Gift | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pennyann’s Inn | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hey Paige | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Treasure | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Macho Orb | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Brassy and Sassy | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Corby | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No Fault | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Summer Luck | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Pauline Revere | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rossini Sunrise | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | La Sola Ranger | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Market Top | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 7 | English Dancer | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Blue Collar | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Phantom Opening | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 12 | Peaceful Passage | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Last Promise Kept | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Araminta | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lantiz | 12.00 | 13 | 25-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Collections Choice | 30.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Ellens Birthday | 20.00 | 15.3 | 29-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bitatude | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Promises Broken | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ivy’s College Fund | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yowza | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Girls Know Best | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jo Jo’s Wine | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Angelo’s Ashes | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heir Apparent | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.