October 14, 2017 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sixes | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clifton Beach | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Hearted | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Papa Ted | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Indy | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Twisted Candy | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Seeker | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Contento | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Trojan the Wildcat | 50.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fly Papa Fly | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jump the Tracks | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shackalov | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Campaigner | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Violent Ridge | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Croissant | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smart Knows Smart | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Minoso | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Touchdown U S C | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Buck Duane | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Make It a Triple | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moonlight Blue | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Braddock | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Informality | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Crushed It | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fire to the Wire | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Harbor | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Start a Runnin | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Radio Silence | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Record Highs | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fritz Johansen | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Scotty | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tristan’s Trilogy | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fishel | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Harbour Master (GB) | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cafe Flavor | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ample Sufficiency | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Colonial Power | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Big Day Tomorrow | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hard Arch | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Topgallant | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vow’s Son | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sooner Boomer | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Second Gear | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sumday Sumday | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cool Hand Lucas | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kinsale Warrior | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bryan Habana (ARG) | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | True Force | 50.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – California Distaff H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Miss Sunset | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Bad Ju Ju | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Long Hot Summer | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Moonless Sky | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Ready to Hula Lula | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Barbara Beatrice | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Run for Retts | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Starlite Style | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Late ‘n Left | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Indavidualist | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | L. A. Tower | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Liberation | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 12 | Cammy’s Music | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bucky Goldstein | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pick One | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Demonslayer | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Picasso’s Mandolin | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Big Bad Jon | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Adventurous | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Slasher | 3.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Mostly Cloudy | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Julia’s Summer | 50.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lucky J Lane | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Got Even | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chris and Dave | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wild About Deb | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ground Rules | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Magical Mystery | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sheer Flattery | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Camino de Estrella | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Senator Robert | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | General Kitten | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kid Charming | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Halo Ahead | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hotsy Dotsy | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arunachala | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gee Street | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Council Women | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rolling Shadow | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wendy’s Back | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Battleground State | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Alpha Pegasus | 50.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Veiled Heat | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Promnesia | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Sierra | 50.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Quality Girl | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.