October 14, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Chauncey |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Miss Good Girl |
30.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Myrtle |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Rubys Fire |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Winning Thread |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Meetmeonline |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Frechette |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Gibbet |
4.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
13 |
13 |
Infinite Oz |
15.00 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Helena the First |
3.50 |
9.3 |
17-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Slews Alley |
6.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
It’s a Doozy |
15.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Not in Jeopardy |
12.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Rarified Air |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Aim Straight |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
True Arch |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Irish Handcuffs |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Patti’s Pirate |
4.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Humbolt Street |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
R Lucifer |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Zeke |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Random Thoughts |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
My Brothersledge |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Chirping |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Whiskey Wu |
20.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
9 |
4 |
Causeur |
3.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Maynooth |
4.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Colonel Patsy |
8.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Makeanentrance |
15.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Quick Thinker |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
Scr |
14 |
14 |
Sweeter Surprise |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Bella Vincenza |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
13 |
13 |
Undertherain |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
Scr |
4 |
1 |
Cincy Belle |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Unbridled Escape |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
Scr |
15 |
15 |
Shekels |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
8 |
4 |
Spicy Girl Red |
8.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
6 |
3 |
Chamberlin Road |
20.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Fantastic Score |
12.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Beaches N Bourbon |
8.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
Scr |
12 |
5 |
Aphrodite’s Quest |
15.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Ten Penny Princess |
5.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
Scr |
10 |
10 |
Fed Up Fired Up |
15.00 |
12.8 |
24-1 |
Scr |
5 |
2 |
My Golden Rose |
8.00 |
13.3 |
25-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Whata Guess |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Patriot Saint |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Stay On Point |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Miss My People |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Tymochtee Creek |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Slim |
3.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Argento |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Creepy the Crab |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Toe Tapper |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
3 |
Negrito |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Starling’s Law |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Baltic Art (GER) |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Dattt Melody |
3.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
10 |
10 |
Respighi |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
11 |
4 |
Cort’n Asong |
3.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Springers Point |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Rum Tum Tugger |
8.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Dream Man |
4.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Markakis |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
6 |
2 |
Vakeesh |
15.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Daniel Le Deux |
8.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
15 |
15 |
Wicked Heat |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
Scr |
16 |
16 |
Popsracer |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Goodbyeseeulater |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Unusual Fleet |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Heiko |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
Scr |
13 |
13 |
Cruise More |
5.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
Scr |
12 |
5 |
Ghostly Games |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Winter Springs (FR) |
12.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Colmont Fire |
10.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Scr |
9 |
4 |
Hard Drive |
12.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Our Emerald Forest (IRE) |
5.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Hirschbein |
4.50 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
Scr |
14 |
6 |
Tens Wild |
20.00 |
12.3 |
23-1 |
|
8 |
3 |
Top Prospect |
8.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Therestishistory |
15.00 |
13.5 |
26-1 |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Out of the Fire |
20.00 |
15.8 |
30-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
1 |
Fightin Phil |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Hermans Gold |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Raphael’s Promise |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Peyton Place |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Tapitontheside |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Done Acting |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Johnwannabehenry |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Zinger |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
He’ll Pay |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Andalusite |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Brother O’Connell |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Indian Defence |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Dream Breaker |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Toughest ‘Ombre |
3.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
Scr |
7 |
3 |
Trilogy |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Silent Waters |
12.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Radiant Element |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Mining for Candy |
12.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Feelin Foxie |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Suburb |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
12 |
12 |
In It for the Gold |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Resolana |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Saratoga Belle |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Sympathetic |
4.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Sarah’s Treasure |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Mercurial Miss |
10.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Crater Rim |
20.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
Scr |
10 |
10 |
Princess Mirren |
20.00 |
11.8 |
22-1 |
Scr |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.